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icon for США объявляют очередную интервенцию в иенах...?

США объявляют очередную интервенцию в иенах...?

icon for США объявляют очередную интервенцию в иенах...?

США объявляют очередную интервенцию в иенах...?

НОВОЕ
30 сент. 2026 г.
Polymarket

$0.00 Объем

Polymarket

30 сентября 2026 года

$0 Объем

22%

31 декабря 2026 года

$0 Объем

50%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government announces that it has intervened in the foreign exchange market to support the Japanese yen between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying announcement must establish that (i) the United States purchased Japanese yen in the foreign exchange market and (ii) the purchase was undertaken as an exchange-rate intervention, whether stated explicitly or clearly established through context. The intervention may be unilateral or coordinated with other governments, but the United States must participate directly. Any qualifying announcement made within this market's time frame will count, provided the underlying yen purchase occurred after July 31, 2026. Statements of concern, readiness, or intent to intervene; swap lines or other currency arrangements absent a qualifying yen purchase; and intervention by other governments without US participation will not qualify. A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. Statements made incidentally or informally in a context not intended for official communication do not qualify. Resolution will be based on official statements from the US Treasury, Federal Reserve, White House, or their official representatives acting in an official capacity.**Recent sharp yen gains and persistent volatility around 158–160 USD/JPY have kept traders on high alert for another U.S. Treasury announcement of coordinated intervention.** Following the rare joint U.S.-Japan yen-buying operation in late July/early August—the first such coordinated action since 2011 and U.S. yen purchases since 1998—the pair fell from near-164 (a roughly 40-year low) toward the mid-155s before partially retracing. Japan has deployed a record roughly $96 billion over the past month to counter disorderly moves tied to rate differentials, energy-cost pressures from the U.S.-Iran conflict, and fiscal concerns. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Japanese officials have repeatedly signaled readiness for further joint action if volatility reaccelerates, while noting use of the Fed’s FIMA repo facility to limit Japanese Treasury sales. Markets are now watching the Bank of Japan’s September 17–18 policy meeting and any fresh data releases for signs that could prompt renewed U.S. involvement via the Exchange Stabilization Fund.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government announces that it has intervened in the foreign exchange market to support the Japanese yen between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying announcement must establish that (i) the United States purchased Japanese yen in the foreign exchange market and (ii) the purchase was undertaken as an exchange-rate intervention, whether stated explicitly or clearly established through context. The intervention may be unilateral or coordinated with other governments, but the United States must participate directly.

Any qualifying announcement made within this market's time frame will count, provided the underlying yen purchase occurred after July 31, 2026.

Statements of concern, readiness, or intent to intervene; swap lines or other currency arrangements absent a qualifying yen purchase; and intervention by other governments without US participation will not qualify.

A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. Statements made incidentally or informally in a context not intended for official communication do not qualify.

Resolution will be based on official statements from the US Treasury, Federal Reserve, White House, or their official representatives acting in an official capacity.
Объем
$0
Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Sep 2, 2026, 8:02 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government announces that it has intervened in the foreign exchange market to support the Japanese yen between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying announcement must establish that (i) the United States purchased Japanese yen in the foreign exchange market and (ii) the purchase was undertaken as an exchange-rate intervention, whether stated explicitly or clearly established through context. The intervention may be unilateral or coordinated with other governments, but the United States must participate directly. Any qualifying announcement made within this market's time frame will count, provided the underlying yen purchase occurred after July 31, 2026. Statements of concern, readiness, or intent to intervene; swap lines or other currency arrangements absent a qualifying yen purchase; and intervention by other governments without US participation will not qualify. A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. Statements made incidentally or informally in a context not intended for official communication do not qualify. Resolution will be based on official statements from the US Treasury, Federal Reserve, White House, or their official representatives acting in an official capacity.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government announces that it has intervened in the foreign exchange market to support the Japanese yen between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying announcement must establish that (i) the United States purchased Japanese yen in the foreign exchange market and (ii) the purchase was undertaken as an exchange-rate intervention, whether stated explicitly or clearly established through context. The intervention may be unilateral or coordinated with other governments, but the United States must participate directly. Any qualifying announcement made within this market's time frame will count, provided the underlying yen purchase occurred after July 31, 2026. Statements of concern, readiness, or intent to intervene; swap lines or other currency arrangements absent a qualifying yen purchase; and intervention by other governments without US participation will not qualify. A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. Statements made incidentally or informally in a context not intended for official communication do not qualify. Resolution will be based on official statements from the US Treasury, Federal Reserve, White House, or their official representatives acting in an official capacity.**Recent sharp yen gains and persistent volatility around 158–160 USD/JPY have kept traders on high alert for another U.S. Treasury announcement of coordinated intervention.** Following the rare joint U.S.-Japan yen-buying operation in late July/early August—the first such coordinated action since 2011 and U.S. yen purchases since 1998—the pair fell from near-164 (a roughly 40-year low) toward the mid-155s before partially retracing. Japan has deployed a record roughly $96 billion over the past month to counter disorderly moves tied to rate differentials, energy-cost pressures from the U.S.-Iran conflict, and fiscal concerns. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Japanese officials have repeatedly signaled readiness for further joint action if volatility reaccelerates, while noting use of the Fed’s FIMA repo facility to limit Japanese Treasury sales. Markets are now watching the Bank of Japan’s September 17–18 policy meeting and any fresh data releases for signs that could prompt renewed U.S. involvement via the Exchange Stabilization Fund.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government announces that it has intervened in the foreign exchange market to support the Japanese yen between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying announcement must establish that (i) the United States purchased Japanese yen in the foreign exchange market and (ii) the purchase was undertaken as an exchange-rate intervention, whether stated explicitly or clearly established through context. The intervention may be unilateral or coordinated with other governments, but the United States must participate directly.

Any qualifying announcement made within this market's time frame will count, provided the underlying yen purchase occurred after July 31, 2026.

Statements of concern, readiness, or intent to intervene; swap lines or other currency arrangements absent a qualifying yen purchase; and intervention by other governments without US participation will not qualify.

A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. Statements made incidentally or informally in a context not intended for official communication do not qualify.

Resolution will be based on official statements from the US Treasury, Federal Reserve, White House, or their official representatives acting in an official capacity.
Объем
$0
Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Sep 2, 2026, 8:02 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government announces that it has intervened in the foreign exchange market to support the Japanese yen between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying announcement must establish that (i) the United States purchased Japanese yen in the foreign exchange market and (ii) the purchase was undertaken as an exchange-rate intervention, whether stated explicitly or clearly established through context. The intervention may be unilateral or coordinated with other governments, but the United States must participate directly. Any qualifying announcement made within this market's time frame will count, provided the underlying yen purchase occurred after July 31, 2026. Statements of concern, readiness, or intent to intervene; swap lines or other currency arrangements absent a qualifying yen purchase; and intervention by other governments without US participation will not qualify. A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. Statements made incidentally or informally in a context not intended for official communication do not qualify. Resolution will be based on official statements from the US Treasury, Federal Reserve, White House, or their official representatives acting in an official capacity.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«США объявляют очередную интервенцию в иенах...?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 2 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «31 декабря 2026 года» с 50%, за ним следует «30 сентября 2026 года» с 22%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 50¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 50%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«США объявляют очередную интервенцию в иенах...?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Sep 2, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «США объявляют очередную интервенцию в иенах...?», просмотри 2 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «США объявляют очередную интервенцию в иенах...?» — «31 декабря 2026 года» с 50%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 50%. Следующий ближайший исход — «30 сентября 2026 года» с 22%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «США объявляют очередную интервенцию в иенах...?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.