Recent August ISM Services PMI strength at 55.4, exceeding consensus near 54.3 and July’s 54.1, anchors trader expectations for September near the mid-54s. Broad-based demand gains, including new orders at a multi-year high of 60.9 and business activity at 61.7, reflect resilient services activity that supports GDP growth slightly above 2 percent. However, employment contracted for a second month at 47.8 while the prices-paid index climbed to 72.6 amid tariff effects, Middle East supply disruptions, and oil-related cost pressures, pointing to persistent inflation risks. Market-implied probabilities cluster in the 54.0–56.9 range as participants weigh sustained momentum against moderation toward the roughly 53.7 twelve-month average ahead of the early-October release.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено54,0–54,9 32%
55,0 до 55,9 24%
От 53,0 до 53,9 18%
От 56,0 до 56,9 17%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 окт. 2026 г.
<51,0
1%
51,0–51,9
3%
52,0 – 52,9
11%
От 53,0 до 53,9
18%
54,0–54,9
32%
55,0 до 55,9
24%
От 56,0 до 56,9
17%
От 57,0 до 57,9
4%
58,0–58,9
10%
59,0+
8%
54,0–54,9 32%
55,0 до 55,9 24%
От 53,0 до 53,9 18%
От 56,0 до 56,9 17%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 окт. 2026 г.
<51,0
$59 Объем
1%
51,0–51,9
$59 Объем
3%
52,0 – 52,9
$59 Объем
11%
От 53,0 до 53,9
$123 Объем
18%
54,0–54,9
$59 Объем
32%
55,0 до 55,9
$59 Объем
24%
От 56,0 до 56,9
$260 Объем
17%
От 57,0 до 57,9
$22 Объем
4%
58,0–58,9
$72 Объем
10%
59,0+
$80 Объем
8%
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent August ISM Services PMI strength at 55.4, exceeding consensus near 54.3 and July’s 54.1, anchors trader expectations for September near the mid-54s. Broad-based demand gains, including new orders at a multi-year high of 60.9 and business activity at 61.7, reflect resilient services activity that supports GDP growth slightly above 2 percent. However, employment contracted for a second month at 47.8 while the prices-paid index climbed to 72.6 amid tariff effects, Middle East supply disruptions, and oil-related cost pressures, pointing to persistent inflation risks. Market-implied probabilities cluster in the 54.0–56.9 range as participants weigh sustained momentum against moderation toward the roughly 53.7 twelve-month average ahead of the early-October release.
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Открытие рынка: Sep 3, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Объем
$834Дата окончания
5 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 3, 2026, 4:01 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent August ISM Services PMI strength at 55.4, exceeding consensus near 54.3 and July’s 54.1, anchors trader expectations for September near the mid-54s. Broad-based demand gains, including new orders at a multi-year high of 60.9 and business activity at 61.7, reflect resilient services activity that supports GDP growth slightly above 2 percent. However, employment contracted for a second month at 47.8 while the prices-paid index climbed to 72.6 amid tariff effects, Middle East supply disruptions, and oil-related cost pressures, pointing to persistent inflation risks. Market-implied probabilities cluster in the 54.0–56.9 range as participants weigh sustained momentum against moderation toward the roughly 53.7 twelve-month average ahead of the early-October release.
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Объем
$834Дата окончания
5 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 3, 2026, 4:01 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent August ISM Services PMI strength at 55.4, exceeding consensus near 54.3 and July’s 54.1, anchors trader expectations for September near the mid-54s. Broad-based demand gains, including new orders at a multi-year high of 60.9 and business activity at 61.7, reflect resilient services activity that supports GDP growth slightly above 2 percent. However, employment contracted for a second month at 47.8 while the prices-paid index climbed to 72.6 amid tariff effects, Middle East supply disruptions, and oil-related cost pressures, pointing to persistent inflation risks. Market-implied probabilities cluster in the 54.0–56.9 range as participants weigh sustained momentum against moderation toward the roughly 53.7 twelve-month average ahead of the early-October release.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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