Persistent inflation pressures, with May 2026 CPI at 4.2% year-over-year amid energy shocks from Middle East developments, combined with a resilient labor market showing 4.3% unemployment and solid payroll gains, anchor the 92.5% market-implied odds against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027. The Fed funds target range remains 3.50%-3.75%, with recent FOMC minutes and economist surveys signaling a data-dependent hold through 2026 as officials prioritize containing above-target readings over easing. Trader consensus reflects this hawkish stance, consistent with projections from Goldman Sachs and others for initial cuts only in 2027. A sharp labor market deterioration or rapid disinflation could still shift sentiment, though incoming data shows limited scope for such outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
$105,631 Объем
$105,631 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
$105,631 Объем
$105,631 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Persistent inflation pressures, with May 2026 CPI at 4.2% year-over-year amid energy shocks from Middle East developments, combined with a resilient labor market showing 4.3% unemployment and solid payroll gains, anchor the 92.5% market-implied odds against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027. The Fed funds target range remains 3.50%-3.75%, with recent FOMC minutes and economist surveys signaling a data-dependent hold through 2026 as officials prioritize containing above-target readings over easing. Trader consensus reflects this hawkish stance, consistent with projections from Goldman Sachs and others for initial cuts only in 2027. A sharp labor market deterioration or rapid disinflation could still shift sentiment, though incoming data shows limited scope for such outcomes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Открытие рынка: Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
Объем
$105,631Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Persistent inflation pressures, with May 2026 CPI at 4.2% year-over-year amid energy shocks from Middle East developments, combined with a resilient labor market showing 4.3% unemployment and solid payroll gains, anchor the 92.5% market-implied odds against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027. The Fed funds target range remains 3.50%-3.75%, with recent FOMC minutes and economist surveys signaling a data-dependent hold through 2026 as officials prioritize containing above-target readings over easing. Trader consensus reflects this hawkish stance, consistent with projections from Goldman Sachs and others for initial cuts only in 2027. A sharp labor market deterioration or rapid disinflation could still shift sentiment, though incoming data shows limited scope for such outcomes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Объем
$105,631Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Persistent inflation pressures, with May 2026 CPI at 4.2% year-over-year amid energy shocks from Middle East developments, combined with a resilient labor market showing 4.3% unemployment and solid payroll gains, anchor the 92.5% market-implied odds against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027. The Fed funds target range remains 3.50%-3.75%, with recent FOMC minutes and economist surveys signaling a data-dependent hold through 2026 as officials prioritize containing above-target readings over easing. Trader consensus reflects this hawkish stance, consistent with projections from Goldman Sachs and others for initial cuts only in 2027. A sharp labor market deterioration or rapid disinflation could still shift sentiment, though incoming data shows limited scope for such outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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