Persistent inflation pressures from energy price shocks and a resilient labor market, with May 2026 CPI at 4.2% year-over-year and steady nonfarm payroll gains, have kept the federal funds rate anchored at 3.50%-3.75%. The FOMC's wait-and-see stance under new Chair Kevin Warsh, reinforced by economist surveys projecting no cuts for the remainder of 2026 and futures pricing possible hikes, underpins the 90.5% market-implied probability against an emergency rate cut before 2027. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects firm monetary policy amid above-target inflation and solid growth. A sharp recession or abrupt geopolitical resolution easing energy costs could still prompt an unscheduled move.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
$105,631 Объем
$105,631 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
$105,631 Объем
$105,631 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Persistent inflation pressures from energy price shocks and a resilient labor market, with May 2026 CPI at 4.2% year-over-year and steady nonfarm payroll gains, have kept the federal funds rate anchored at 3.50%-3.75%. The FOMC's wait-and-see stance under new Chair Kevin Warsh, reinforced by economist surveys projecting no cuts for the remainder of 2026 and futures pricing possible hikes, underpins the 90.5% market-implied probability against an emergency rate cut before 2027. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects firm monetary policy amid above-target inflation and solid growth. A sharp recession or abrupt geopolitical resolution easing energy costs could still prompt an unscheduled move.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Открытие рынка: Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
Объем
$105,631Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Persistent inflation pressures from energy price shocks and a resilient labor market, with May 2026 CPI at 4.2% year-over-year and steady nonfarm payroll gains, have kept the federal funds rate anchored at 3.50%-3.75%. The FOMC's wait-and-see stance under new Chair Kevin Warsh, reinforced by economist surveys projecting no cuts for the remainder of 2026 and futures pricing possible hikes, underpins the 90.5% market-implied probability against an emergency rate cut before 2027. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects firm monetary policy amid above-target inflation and solid growth. A sharp recession or abrupt geopolitical resolution easing energy costs could still prompt an unscheduled move.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Объем
$105,631Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Persistent inflation pressures from energy price shocks and a resilient labor market, with May 2026 CPI at 4.2% year-over-year and steady nonfarm payroll gains, have kept the federal funds rate anchored at 3.50%-3.75%. The FOMC's wait-and-see stance under new Chair Kevin Warsh, reinforced by economist surveys projecting no cuts for the remainder of 2026 and futures pricing possible hikes, underpins the 90.5% market-implied probability against an emergency rate cut before 2027. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects firm monetary policy amid above-target inflation and solid growth. A sharp recession or abrupt geopolitical resolution easing energy costs could still prompt an unscheduled move.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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