Anthropic leads trader sentiment for the largest 2026 IPO by market cap, with its confidential S-1 filed in June and a targeted October Nasdaq listing at valuations discussed near $2 trillion. Explosive revenue growth—annualized run rate reaching $65 billion by July, up sharply from prior quarters—combined with expected adjusted profitability and underwriter support from Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley underpins the 54.9% implied probability. OpenAI’s September decision to delay any debut until 2027 over AI safety concerns has removed a key rival from the 2026 window, while SpaceX’s June IPO at roughly $1.75–1.8 trillion initial valuation sets a high benchmark that Anthropic’s scale could exceed. xAI and other candidates trail due to less advanced public-market preparations and smaller near-term capital raises.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКрупнейшее IPO по рыночной капитализации в 2026 году?
Anthropic 54.9%
SpaceX 46%
OpenAI <1%
ByteDance <1%
$6,061,383 Объем
$6,061,383 Объем

Anthropic
55%

SpaceX
46%

OpenAI
1%

ByteDance
<1%

Stripe
<1%

Databricks
<1%

SHEIN
<1%

Waymo
<1%

Revolut
<1%

Discord
<1%

Perplexity AI
<1%

Kraken
<1%
Anthropic 54.9%
SpaceX 46%
OpenAI <1%
ByteDance <1%
$6,061,383 Объем
$6,061,383 Объем

Anthropic
55%

SpaceX
46%

OpenAI
1%

ByteDance
<1%

Stripe
<1%

Databricks
<1%

SHEIN
<1%

Waymo
<1%

Revolut
<1%

Discord
<1%

Perplexity AI
<1%

Kraken
<1%
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Открытие рынка: Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Кто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Anthropic leads trader sentiment for the largest 2026 IPO by market cap, with its confidential S-1 filed in June and a targeted October Nasdaq listing at valuations discussed near $2 trillion. Explosive revenue growth—annualized run rate reaching $65 billion by July, up sharply from prior quarters—combined with expected adjusted profitability and underwriter support from Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley underpins the 54.9% implied probability. OpenAI’s September decision to delay any debut until 2027 over AI safety concerns has removed a key rival from the 2026 window, while SpaceX’s June IPO at roughly $1.75–1.8 trillion initial valuation sets a high benchmark that Anthropic’s scale could exceed. xAI and other candidates trail due to less advanced public-market preparations and smaller near-term capital raises.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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