With 11 magnitude 7.0+ earthquakes recorded globally through mid-September 2026, trader consensus has converged on the 14–16 range as the most probable annual total. This aligns with USGS historical averages of roughly 15 events per year and reflects steady tectonic activity along major subduction zones without a pronounced recent surge. Key contributors include the August 7.8 Flores and 7.4 Colombia events, while September has remained below threshold so far. Ongoing USGS monitoring and any late-year model updates on regional strain accumulation will shape final resolution as the year closes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСколько 7,0 и выше землетрясений в 2026 году?
14–16 58%
17–19 25%
11–13 16%
20+ 2.8%
$1,472,221 Объем
$1,472,221 Объем
11–13
16%
14–16
58%
17–19
25%
20+
3%
14–16 58%
17–19 25%
11–13 16%
20+ 2.8%
$1,472,221 Объем
$1,472,221 Объем
11–13
16%
14–16
58%
17–19
25%
20+
3%
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
Открытие рынка: Dec 31, 2025, 12:10 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x2f5e3684c...The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
Кто определяет исход
0x2f5e3684c...With 11 magnitude 7.0+ earthquakes recorded globally through mid-September 2026, trader consensus has converged on the 14–16 range as the most probable annual total. This aligns with USGS historical averages of roughly 15 events per year and reflects steady tectonic activity along major subduction zones without a pronounced recent surge. Key contributors include the August 7.8 Flores and 7.4 Colombia events, while September has remained below threshold so far. Ongoing USGS monitoring and any late-year model updates on regional strain accumulation will shape final resolution as the year closes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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