**SB Energy's recent S-1 filing has anchored trader sentiment around mid-range IPO valuations, with the closely matched probabilities reflecting uncertainty over execution amid strong AI tailwinds.** The SoftBank-backed developer pairs gigawatt-scale data centers with power generation, boasting an $439 billion backlog tied largely to OpenAI leases and a planned 8-10 GW Ohio campus. Nvidia's $1.5 billion private placement commitment and OpenAI's $5.5 billion warrants provide credible backing, yet the company reported zero data center revenue, widening losses, and heavy customer concentration. These factors create a tight contest between $40-60 billion outcomes, as traders weigh the AI infrastructure boom against typical infrastructure buildout delays and regulatory hurdles before any January 2027 close.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$80 млрд – $100 млрд 35%
<40 млрд долларов 33%
$40–$50 млрд 29%
$60–$70 млрд 28%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 дек. 2026 г.
<40 млрд долларов
33%
$40–$50 млрд
29%
50–60 млрд долларов
27%
$60–$70 млрд
28%
$70B-$80B
28%
$80 млрд – $100 млрд
27%
$100 млрд-$125 млрд
24%
$125 млрд+
18%
Нет IPO до января 2027 года
23%
$80 млрд – $100 млрд 35%
<40 млрд долларов 33%
$40–$50 млрд 29%
$60–$70 млрд 28%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 дек. 2026 г.
<40 млрд долларов
$0 Объем
33%
$40–$50 млрд
$0 Объем
29%
50–60 млрд долларов
$0 Объем
27%
$60–$70 млрд
$30 Объем
28%
$70B-$80B
$0 Объем
28%
$80 млрд – $100 млрд
$120 Объем
27%
$100 млрд-$125 млрд
$38 Объем
24%
$125 млрд+
$27 Объем
18%
Нет IPO до января 2027 года
$0 Объем
23%
This market will resolve based on SB Energy's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.**SB Energy's recent S-1 filing has anchored trader sentiment around mid-range IPO valuations, with the closely matched probabilities reflecting uncertainty over execution amid strong AI tailwinds.** The SoftBank-backed developer pairs gigawatt-scale data centers with power generation, boasting an $439 billion backlog tied largely to OpenAI leases and a planned 8-10 GW Ohio campus. Nvidia's $1.5 billion private placement commitment and OpenAI's $5.5 billion warrants provide credible backing, yet the company reported zero data center revenue, widening losses, and heavy customer concentration. These factors create a tight contest between $40-60 billion outcomes, as traders weigh the AI infrastructure boom against typical infrastructure buildout delays and regulatory hurdles before any January 2027 close.
This market will resolve based on SB Energy's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Открытие рынка: Sep 9, 2026, 5:07 PM ET
Объем
$215Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 9, 2026, 5:07 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on SB Energy's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.**SB Energy's recent S-1 filing has anchored trader sentiment around mid-range IPO valuations, with the closely matched probabilities reflecting uncertainty over execution amid strong AI tailwinds.** The SoftBank-backed developer pairs gigawatt-scale data centers with power generation, boasting an $439 billion backlog tied largely to OpenAI leases and a planned 8-10 GW Ohio campus. Nvidia's $1.5 billion private placement commitment and OpenAI's $5.5 billion warrants provide credible backing, yet the company reported zero data center revenue, widening losses, and heavy customer concentration. These factors create a tight contest between $40-60 billion outcomes, as traders weigh the AI infrastructure boom against typical infrastructure buildout delays and regulatory hurdles before any January 2027 close.
This market will resolve based on SB Energy's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Объем
$215Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 9, 2026, 5:07 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**SB Energy's recent S-1 filing has anchored trader sentiment around mid-range IPO valuations, with the closely matched probabilities reflecting uncertainty over execution amid strong AI tailwinds.** The SoftBank-backed developer pairs gigawatt-scale data centers with power generation, boasting an $439 billion backlog tied largely to OpenAI leases and a planned 8-10 GW Ohio campus. Nvidia's $1.5 billion private placement commitment and OpenAI's $5.5 billion warrants provide credible backing, yet the company reported zero data center revenue, widening losses, and heavy customer concentration. These factors create a tight contest between $40-60 billion outcomes, as traders weigh the AI infrastructure boom against typical infrastructure buildout delays and regulatory hurdles before any January 2027 close.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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