Recent reports indicate OpenAI is shifting toward a 2027 IPO to secure a $1 trillion-plus valuation rather than accept a lower figure in late 2026, directly supporting the 84% market-implied odds against a $1T+ debut before 2027. After confidentially filing its S-1 in June 2026 and hiring underwriters for a potential fourth-quarter window, leadership including CEO Sam Altman reportedly rejected compromises on valuation amid softening public-market sentiment and SpaceX’s debut performance. The company’s $852 billion private valuation, $2 billion monthly revenue run rate, and rapid enterprise growth provide strong fundamentals, yet profitability remains elusive and timelines for large language model releases or regulatory clarity could slip. Key near-term catalysts include any updates on SEC review progress, competitive moves from Anthropic, or shifts in AI sector multiples that might reopen a 2026 path.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
16% вероятность
$295,825 Объем
$295,825 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
16% вероятность
$295,825 Объем
$295,825 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI completes an initial public offering (IPO) valued at $1 trillion USD or higher at the time of the IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”
An “initial public offering (IPO)” refers to the first sale of OpenAI’s equity securities to the public through a regulated stock exchange.
OpenAI will be considered to have achieved a $1 trillion valuation if the market capitalization implied by the IPO offering price multiplied by the total number of outstanding shares equals or exceeds $1 trillion USD.
Announcements, filings, or planned IPOs that do not result in public trading by that time will not qualify. Private funding rounds, secondary share sales, or employee-share transactions will not be considered. A direct listing or merger via SPAC will qualify only if it results in OpenAI’s common shares becoming publicly traded for the first time on a major exchange.
If OpenAI’s IPO is priced before the resolution deadline but public trading has not yet commenced, the market may remain open for up to 30 calendar days to determine whether the IPO is completed.
If OpenAI is acquired, dissolved, or merged into another entity before an IPO occurs, this market will resolve to “No.” In the event of a restructuring, the market will resolve based on the entity legally recognized as OpenAI’s successor will
The resolution source will be a consensus for credible reporting.Recent reports indicate OpenAI is shifting toward a 2027 IPO to secure a $1 trillion-plus valuation rather than accept a lower figure in late 2026, directly supporting the 84% market-implied odds against a $1T+ debut before 2027. After confidentially filing its S-1 in June 2026 and hiring underwriters for a potential fourth-quarter window, leadership including CEO Sam Altman reportedly rejected compromises on valuation amid softening public-market sentiment and SpaceX’s debut performance. The company’s $852 billion private valuation, $2 billion monthly revenue run rate, and rapid enterprise growth provide strong fundamentals, yet profitability remains elusive and timelines for large language model releases or regulatory clarity could slip. Key near-term catalysts include any updates on SEC review progress, competitive moves from Anthropic, or shifts in AI sector multiples that might reopen a 2026 path.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI completes an initial public offering (IPO) valued at $1 trillion USD or higher at the time of the IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”
An “initial public offering (IPO)” refers to the first sale of OpenAI’s equity securities to the public through a regulated stock exchange.
OpenAI will be considered to have achieved a $1 trillion valuation if the market capitalization implied by the IPO offering price multiplied by the total number of outstanding shares equals or exceeds $1 trillion USD.
Announcements, filings, or planned IPOs that do not result in public trading by that time will not qualify. Private funding rounds, secondary share sales, or employee-share transactions will not be considered. A direct listing or merger via SPAC will qualify only if it results in OpenAI’s common shares becoming publicly traded for the first time on a major exchange.
If OpenAI’s IPO is priced before the resolution deadline but public trading has not yet commenced, the market may remain open for up to 30 calendar days to determine whether the IPO is completed.
If OpenAI is acquired, dissolved, or merged into another entity before an IPO occurs, this market will resolve to “No.” In the event of a restructuring, the market will resolve based on the entity legally recognized as OpenAI’s successor will
The resolution source will be a consensus for credible reporting.
An “initial public offering (IPO)” refers to the first sale of OpenAI’s equity securities to the public through a regulated stock exchange.
OpenAI will be considered to have achieved a $1 trillion valuation if the market capitalization implied by the IPO offering price multiplied by the total number of outstanding shares equals or exceeds $1 trillion USD.
Announcements, filings, or planned IPOs that do not result in public trading by that time will not qualify. Private funding rounds, secondary share sales, or employee-share transactions will not be considered. A direct listing or merger via SPAC will qualify only if it results in OpenAI’s common shares becoming publicly traded for the first time on a major exchange.
If OpenAI’s IPO is priced before the resolution deadline but public trading has not yet commenced, the market may remain open for up to 30 calendar days to determine whether the IPO is completed.
If OpenAI is acquired, dissolved, or merged into another entity before an IPO occurs, this market will resolve to “No.” In the event of a restructuring, the market will resolve based on the entity legally recognized as OpenAI’s successor will
The resolution source will be a consensus for credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Oct 29, 2025, 8:29 PM ET
Объем
$295,825Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 29, 2025, 8:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI completes an initial public offering (IPO) valued at $1 trillion USD or higher at the time of the IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”
An “initial public offering (IPO)” refers to the first sale of OpenAI’s equity securities to the public through a regulated stock exchange.
OpenAI will be considered to have achieved a $1 trillion valuation if the market capitalization implied by the IPO offering price multiplied by the total number of outstanding shares equals or exceeds $1 trillion USD.
Announcements, filings, or planned IPOs that do not result in public trading by that time will not qualify. Private funding rounds, secondary share sales, or employee-share transactions will not be considered. A direct listing or merger via SPAC will qualify only if it results in OpenAI’s common shares becoming publicly traded for the first time on a major exchange.
If OpenAI’s IPO is priced before the resolution deadline but public trading has not yet commenced, the market may remain open for up to 30 calendar days to determine whether the IPO is completed.
If OpenAI is acquired, dissolved, or merged into another entity before an IPO occurs, this market will resolve to “No.” In the event of a restructuring, the market will resolve based on the entity legally recognized as OpenAI’s successor will
The resolution source will be a consensus for credible reporting.Recent reports indicate OpenAI is shifting toward a 2027 IPO to secure a $1 trillion-plus valuation rather than accept a lower figure in late 2026, directly supporting the 84% market-implied odds against a $1T+ debut before 2027. After confidentially filing its S-1 in June 2026 and hiring underwriters for a potential fourth-quarter window, leadership including CEO Sam Altman reportedly rejected compromises on valuation amid softening public-market sentiment and SpaceX’s debut performance. The company’s $852 billion private valuation, $2 billion monthly revenue run rate, and rapid enterprise growth provide strong fundamentals, yet profitability remains elusive and timelines for large language model releases or regulatory clarity could slip. Key near-term catalysts include any updates on SEC review progress, competitive moves from Anthropic, or shifts in AI sector multiples that might reopen a 2026 path.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI completes an initial public offering (IPO) valued at $1 trillion USD or higher at the time of the IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”
An “initial public offering (IPO)” refers to the first sale of OpenAI’s equity securities to the public through a regulated stock exchange.
OpenAI will be considered to have achieved a $1 trillion valuation if the market capitalization implied by the IPO offering price multiplied by the total number of outstanding shares equals or exceeds $1 trillion USD.
Announcements, filings, or planned IPOs that do not result in public trading by that time will not qualify. Private funding rounds, secondary share sales, or employee-share transactions will not be considered. A direct listing or merger via SPAC will qualify only if it results in OpenAI’s common shares becoming publicly traded for the first time on a major exchange.
If OpenAI’s IPO is priced before the resolution deadline but public trading has not yet commenced, the market may remain open for up to 30 calendar days to determine whether the IPO is completed.
If OpenAI is acquired, dissolved, or merged into another entity before an IPO occurs, this market will resolve to “No.” In the event of a restructuring, the market will resolve based on the entity legally recognized as OpenAI’s successor will
The resolution source will be a consensus for credible reporting.
An “initial public offering (IPO)” refers to the first sale of OpenAI’s equity securities to the public through a regulated stock exchange.
OpenAI will be considered to have achieved a $1 trillion valuation if the market capitalization implied by the IPO offering price multiplied by the total number of outstanding shares equals or exceeds $1 trillion USD.
Announcements, filings, or planned IPOs that do not result in public trading by that time will not qualify. Private funding rounds, secondary share sales, or employee-share transactions will not be considered. A direct listing or merger via SPAC will qualify only if it results in OpenAI’s common shares becoming publicly traded for the first time on a major exchange.
If OpenAI’s IPO is priced before the resolution deadline but public trading has not yet commenced, the market may remain open for up to 30 calendar days to determine whether the IPO is completed.
If OpenAI is acquired, dissolved, or merged into another entity before an IPO occurs, this market will resolve to “No.” In the event of a restructuring, the market will resolve based on the entity legally recognized as OpenAI’s successor will
The resolution source will be a consensus for credible reporting.
Объем
$295,825Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 29, 2025, 8:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent reports indicate OpenAI is shifting toward a 2027 IPO to secure a $1 trillion-plus valuation rather than accept a lower figure in late 2026, directly supporting the 84% market-implied odds against a $1T+ debut before 2027. After confidentially filing its S-1 in June 2026 and hiring underwriters for a potential fourth-quarter window, leadership including CEO Sam Altman reportedly rejected compromises on valuation amid softening public-market sentiment and SpaceX’s debut performance. The company’s $852 billion private valuation, $2 billion monthly revenue run rate, and rapid enterprise growth provide strong fundamentals, yet profitability remains elusive and timelines for large language model releases or regulatory clarity could slip. Key near-term catalysts include any updates on SEC review progress, competitive moves from Anthropic, or shifts in AI sector multiples that might reopen a 2026 path.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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