OpenAI’s recent confidential S-1 filing on June 8, 2026, has advanced preparations for a potential $1 trillion-plus IPO, yet trader consensus favors the “No” outcome at 57.5% implied probability because the timeline remains uncertain. CFO Sarah Friar has consistently advocated a 2027 listing to ensure public-company readiness amid ongoing heavy losses and infrastructure demands, while CEO Sam Altman noted the company expects to go public “within the next year” without committing to 2026. The March 2026 $852 billion valuation round and competitive AI landscape with Anthropic underscore growth momentum, but historical delays in large tech filings, regulatory review timelines, and the preference for private status support expectations that a qualifying debut is more likely to slip beyond December 2026. Key near-term catalysts include S-1 amendment progress and underwriter roadshow updates.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоOpenAI $ 1t+ IPO до 2027 года?
OpenAI $ 1t+ IPO до 2027 года?
Да
$281,032 Объем
$281,032 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
$281,032 Объем
$281,032 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI completes an initial public offering (IPO) valued at $1 trillion USD or higher at the time of the IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”
An “initial public offering (IPO)” refers to the first sale of OpenAI’s equity securities to the public through a regulated stock exchange.
OpenAI will be considered to have achieved a $1 trillion valuation if the market capitalization implied by the IPO offering price multiplied by the total number of outstanding shares equals or exceeds $1 trillion USD.
Announcements, filings, or planned IPOs that do not result in public trading by that time will not qualify. Private funding rounds, secondary share sales, or employee-share transactions will not be considered. A direct listing or merger via SPAC will qualify only if it results in OpenAI’s common shares becoming publicly traded for the first time on a major exchange.
If OpenAI’s IPO is priced before the resolution deadline but public trading has not yet commenced, the market may remain open for up to 30 calendar days to determine whether the IPO is completed.
If OpenAI is acquired, dissolved, or merged into another entity before an IPO occurs, this market will resolve to “No.” In the event of a restructuring, the market will resolve based on the entity legally recognized as OpenAI’s successor will
The resolution source will be a consensus for credible reporting.OpenAI’s recent confidential S-1 filing on June 8, 2026, has advanced preparations for a potential $1 trillion-plus IPO, yet trader consensus favors the “No” outcome at 57.5% implied probability because the timeline remains uncertain. CFO Sarah Friar has consistently advocated a 2027 listing to ensure public-company readiness amid ongoing heavy losses and infrastructure demands, while CEO Sam Altman noted the company expects to go public “within the next year” without committing to 2026. The March 2026 $852 billion valuation round and competitive AI landscape with Anthropic underscore growth momentum, but historical delays in large tech filings, regulatory review timelines, and the preference for private status support expectations that a qualifying debut is more likely to slip beyond December 2026. Key near-term catalysts include S-1 amendment progress and underwriter roadshow updates.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI completes an initial public offering (IPO) valued at $1 trillion USD or higher at the time of the IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”
An “initial public offering (IPO)” refers to the first sale of OpenAI’s equity securities to the public through a regulated stock exchange.
OpenAI will be considered to have achieved a $1 trillion valuation if the market capitalization implied by the IPO offering price multiplied by the total number of outstanding shares equals or exceeds $1 trillion USD.
Announcements, filings, or planned IPOs that do not result in public trading by that time will not qualify. Private funding rounds, secondary share sales, or employee-share transactions will not be considered. A direct listing or merger via SPAC will qualify only if it results in OpenAI’s common shares becoming publicly traded for the first time on a major exchange.
If OpenAI’s IPO is priced before the resolution deadline but public trading has not yet commenced, the market may remain open for up to 30 calendar days to determine whether the IPO is completed.
If OpenAI is acquired, dissolved, or merged into another entity before an IPO occurs, this market will resolve to “No.” In the event of a restructuring, the market will resolve based on the entity legally recognized as OpenAI’s successor will
The resolution source will be a consensus for credible reporting.
An “initial public offering (IPO)” refers to the first sale of OpenAI’s equity securities to the public through a regulated stock exchange.
OpenAI will be considered to have achieved a $1 trillion valuation if the market capitalization implied by the IPO offering price multiplied by the total number of outstanding shares equals or exceeds $1 trillion USD.
Announcements, filings, or planned IPOs that do not result in public trading by that time will not qualify. Private funding rounds, secondary share sales, or employee-share transactions will not be considered. A direct listing or merger via SPAC will qualify only if it results in OpenAI’s common shares becoming publicly traded for the first time on a major exchange.
If OpenAI’s IPO is priced before the resolution deadline but public trading has not yet commenced, the market may remain open for up to 30 calendar days to determine whether the IPO is completed.
If OpenAI is acquired, dissolved, or merged into another entity before an IPO occurs, this market will resolve to “No.” In the event of a restructuring, the market will resolve based on the entity legally recognized as OpenAI’s successor will
The resolution source will be a consensus for credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Oct 29, 2025, 8:29 PM ET
Объем
$281,032Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 29, 2025, 8:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI completes an initial public offering (IPO) valued at $1 trillion USD or higher at the time of the IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”
An “initial public offering (IPO)” refers to the first sale of OpenAI’s equity securities to the public through a regulated stock exchange.
OpenAI will be considered to have achieved a $1 trillion valuation if the market capitalization implied by the IPO offering price multiplied by the total number of outstanding shares equals or exceeds $1 trillion USD.
Announcements, filings, or planned IPOs that do not result in public trading by that time will not qualify. Private funding rounds, secondary share sales, or employee-share transactions will not be considered. A direct listing or merger via SPAC will qualify only if it results in OpenAI’s common shares becoming publicly traded for the first time on a major exchange.
If OpenAI’s IPO is priced before the resolution deadline but public trading has not yet commenced, the market may remain open for up to 30 calendar days to determine whether the IPO is completed.
If OpenAI is acquired, dissolved, or merged into another entity before an IPO occurs, this market will resolve to “No.” In the event of a restructuring, the market will resolve based on the entity legally recognized as OpenAI’s successor will
The resolution source will be a consensus for credible reporting.OpenAI’s recent confidential S-1 filing on June 8, 2026, has advanced preparations for a potential $1 trillion-plus IPO, yet trader consensus favors the “No” outcome at 57.5% implied probability because the timeline remains uncertain. CFO Sarah Friar has consistently advocated a 2027 listing to ensure public-company readiness amid ongoing heavy losses and infrastructure demands, while CEO Sam Altman noted the company expects to go public “within the next year” without committing to 2026. The March 2026 $852 billion valuation round and competitive AI landscape with Anthropic underscore growth momentum, but historical delays in large tech filings, regulatory review timelines, and the preference for private status support expectations that a qualifying debut is more likely to slip beyond December 2026. Key near-term catalysts include S-1 amendment progress and underwriter roadshow updates.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI completes an initial public offering (IPO) valued at $1 trillion USD or higher at the time of the IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”
An “initial public offering (IPO)” refers to the first sale of OpenAI’s equity securities to the public through a regulated stock exchange.
OpenAI will be considered to have achieved a $1 trillion valuation if the market capitalization implied by the IPO offering price multiplied by the total number of outstanding shares equals or exceeds $1 trillion USD.
Announcements, filings, or planned IPOs that do not result in public trading by that time will not qualify. Private funding rounds, secondary share sales, or employee-share transactions will not be considered. A direct listing or merger via SPAC will qualify only if it results in OpenAI’s common shares becoming publicly traded for the first time on a major exchange.
If OpenAI’s IPO is priced before the resolution deadline but public trading has not yet commenced, the market may remain open for up to 30 calendar days to determine whether the IPO is completed.
If OpenAI is acquired, dissolved, or merged into another entity before an IPO occurs, this market will resolve to “No.” In the event of a restructuring, the market will resolve based on the entity legally recognized as OpenAI’s successor will
The resolution source will be a consensus for credible reporting.
An “initial public offering (IPO)” refers to the first sale of OpenAI’s equity securities to the public through a regulated stock exchange.
OpenAI will be considered to have achieved a $1 trillion valuation if the market capitalization implied by the IPO offering price multiplied by the total number of outstanding shares equals or exceeds $1 trillion USD.
Announcements, filings, or planned IPOs that do not result in public trading by that time will not qualify. Private funding rounds, secondary share sales, or employee-share transactions will not be considered. A direct listing or merger via SPAC will qualify only if it results in OpenAI’s common shares becoming publicly traded for the first time on a major exchange.
If OpenAI’s IPO is priced before the resolution deadline but public trading has not yet commenced, the market may remain open for up to 30 calendar days to determine whether the IPO is completed.
If OpenAI is acquired, dissolved, or merged into another entity before an IPO occurs, this market will resolve to “No.” In the event of a restructuring, the market will resolve based on the entity legally recognized as OpenAI’s successor will
The resolution source will be a consensus for credible reporting.
Объем
$281,032Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 29, 2025, 8:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s recent confidential S-1 filing on June 8, 2026, has advanced preparations for a potential $1 trillion-plus IPO, yet trader consensus favors the “No” outcome at 57.5% implied probability because the timeline remains uncertain. CFO Sarah Friar has consistently advocated a 2027 listing to ensure public-company readiness amid ongoing heavy losses and infrastructure demands, while CEO Sam Altman noted the company expects to go public “within the next year” without committing to 2026. The March 2026 $852 billion valuation round and competitive AI landscape with Anthropic underscore growth momentum, but historical delays in large tech filings, regulatory review timelines, and the preference for private status support expectations that a qualifying debut is more likely to slip beyond December 2026. Key near-term catalysts include S-1 amendment progress and underwriter roadshow updates.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы