Anthropic’s advanced IPO preparations drive the 96.4% market-implied odds favoring it to list first. The company confidentially filed its S-1 in early June 2026 and, per September reporting, now targets a late-September prospectus filing, mid-October marketing, and a potential Nasdaq debut before November midterms, supported by a $15 billion credit facility and major underwriters. OpenAI filed shortly after but has signaled a likely 2027 timeline amid valuation targets near $1 trillion and caution from executives following market volatility. Trader consensus reflects these concrete timelines rather than speculation. Delays from regulatory reviews, broader market swings, or an unexpected OpenAI acceleration remain realistic variables that could still shift the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоAnthropic
96% вероятность
$338,490 Объем
$338,490 Объем
30 дек. 2027 г.
Anthropic
96% вероятность
$338,490 Объем
$338,490 Объем
30 дек. 2027 г.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s advanced IPO preparations drive the 96.4% market-implied odds favoring it to list first. The company confidentially filed its S-1 in early June 2026 and, per September reporting, now targets a late-September prospectus filing, mid-October marketing, and a potential Nasdaq debut before November midterms, supported by a $15 billion credit facility and major underwriters. OpenAI filed shortly after but has signaled a likely 2027 timeline amid valuation targets near $1 trillion and caution from executives following market volatility. Trader consensus reflects these concrete timelines rather than speculation. Delays from regulatory reviews, broader market swings, or an unexpected OpenAI acceleration remain realistic variables that could still shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
Объем
$338,490Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s advanced IPO preparations drive the 96.4% market-implied odds favoring it to list first. The company confidentially filed its S-1 in early June 2026 and, per September reporting, now targets a late-September prospectus filing, mid-October marketing, and a potential Nasdaq debut before November midterms, supported by a $15 billion credit facility and major underwriters. OpenAI filed shortly after but has signaled a likely 2027 timeline amid valuation targets near $1 trillion and caution from executives following market volatility. Trader consensus reflects these concrete timelines rather than speculation. Delays from regulatory reviews, broader market swings, or an unexpected OpenAI acceleration remain realistic variables that could still shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$338,490Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s advanced IPO preparations drive the 96.4% market-implied odds favoring it to list first. The company confidentially filed its S-1 in early June 2026 and, per September reporting, now targets a late-September prospectus filing, mid-October marketing, and a potential Nasdaq debut before November midterms, supported by a $15 billion credit facility and major underwriters. OpenAI filed shortly after but has signaled a likely 2027 timeline amid valuation targets near $1 trillion and caution from executives following market volatility. Trader consensus reflects these concrete timelines rather than speculation. Delays from regulatory reviews, broader market swings, or an unexpected OpenAI acceleration remain realistic variables that could still shift the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Состоится ли первичное публичное размещение акций Anthropic в октябре 2026 года (ET)?
59%
Да
Anthropic или OpenAI: какая компания завершит IPO с большей рыночной капитализацией?
70%
Anthropic
Будет ли рыночная капитализация Anthropic составлять 600 млрд долларов США или больше к моменту закрытия рынка в день IPO до 31 декабря 2027 года?
96%
Да
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