Anthropic’s confidential SEC filing on June 1 has driven the 73.5% market-implied odds that it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. The Claude developer, valued near $965 billion after its latest raise, has engaged bankers and completed the initial regulatory step that positions a potential debut as soon as fall 2026. OpenAI, despite working with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley on prospectus preparation and targeting a September or fourth-quarter window, has not yet filed and faces reported internal questions about readiness amid heavy compute costs. Both artificial-intelligence labs are racing for employee liquidity and fresh capital in a crowded large-language-model field, but Anthropic’s first-mover filing gives it the current edge while both timelines remain subject to SEC review and market conditions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоAnthropic
$104,317 Объем
$104,317 Объем
31 дек. 2027 г.
Anthropic
$104,317 Объем
$104,317 Объем
31 дек. 2027 г.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s confidential SEC filing on June 1 has driven the 73.5% market-implied odds that it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. The Claude developer, valued near $965 billion after its latest raise, has engaged bankers and completed the initial regulatory step that positions a potential debut as soon as fall 2026. OpenAI, despite working with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley on prospectus preparation and targeting a September or fourth-quarter window, has not yet filed and faces reported internal questions about readiness amid heavy compute costs. Both artificial-intelligence labs are racing for employee liquidity and fresh capital in a crowded large-language-model field, but Anthropic’s first-mover filing gives it the current edge while both timelines remain subject to SEC review and market conditions.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
Объем
$104,317Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s confidential SEC filing on June 1 has driven the 73.5% market-implied odds that it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. The Claude developer, valued near $965 billion after its latest raise, has engaged bankers and completed the initial regulatory step that positions a potential debut as soon as fall 2026. OpenAI, despite working with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley on prospectus preparation and targeting a September or fourth-quarter window, has not yet filed and faces reported internal questions about readiness amid heavy compute costs. Both artificial-intelligence labs are racing for employee liquidity and fresh capital in a crowded large-language-model field, but Anthropic’s first-mover filing gives it the current edge while both timelines remain subject to SEC review and market conditions.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$104,317Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s confidential SEC filing on June 1 has driven the 73.5% market-implied odds that it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. The Claude developer, valued near $965 billion after its latest raise, has engaged bankers and completed the initial regulatory step that positions a potential debut as soon as fall 2026. OpenAI, despite working with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley on prospectus preparation and targeting a September or fourth-quarter window, has not yet filed and faces reported internal questions about readiness amid heavy compute costs. Both artificial-intelligence labs are racing for employee liquidity and fresh capital in a crowded large-language-model field, but Anthropic’s first-mover filing gives it the current edge while both timelines remain subject to SEC review and market conditions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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