Rapid revenue expansion underpins the market's overwhelming 96.7% implied probability for an Anthropic IPO closing above 600 billion dollars. The company’s annualized run rate climbed from roughly 9 billion dollars at the end of 2025 to 65 billion dollars by July 2026, fueled by enterprise adoption of Claude models and new releases including Opus 5 and the September 2026 Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 updates. A confidential S-1 filing in June, with the prospectus expected shortly after Labor Day, positions the firm for a potential late-September or October listing at valuations discussed near or above 2 trillion dollars. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include slower-than-projected 2028 revenue reaching the 190–200 billion dollar range, regulatory delays, or shifts in AI market sentiment.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено600 млрд+ 96.6%
Нет IPO до 31 декабря 2027 года 1.0%
<100 млрд <1%
400–600 млрд <1%
$443,631 Объем
$443,631 Объем
<100 млрд
1%
100–200 млрд
<1%
200–300 млрд
<1%
300–400 млрд
<1%
400–600 млрд
1%
600 млрд+
97%
Нет IPO до 31 декабря 2027 года
1%
600 млрд+ 96.6%
Нет IPO до 31 декабря 2027 года 1.0%
<100 млрд <1%
400–600 млрд <1%
$443,631 Объем
$443,631 Объем
<100 млрд
1%
100–200 млрд
<1%
200–300 млрд
<1%
300–400 млрд
<1%
400–600 млрд
1%
600 млрд+
97%
Нет IPO до 31 декабря 2027 года
1%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Открытие рынка: Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Кто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Rapid revenue expansion underpins the market's overwhelming 96.7% implied probability for an Anthropic IPO closing above 600 billion dollars. The company’s annualized run rate climbed from roughly 9 billion dollars at the end of 2025 to 65 billion dollars by July 2026, fueled by enterprise adoption of Claude models and new releases including Opus 5 and the September 2026 Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 updates. A confidential S-1 filing in June, with the prospectus expected shortly after Labor Day, positions the firm for a potential late-September or October listing at valuations discussed near or above 2 trillion dollars. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include slower-than-projected 2028 revenue reaching the 190–200 billion dollar range, regulatory delays, or shifts in AI market sentiment.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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