Anthropic’s accelerating revenue trajectory, with annualized run rates reaching $65 billion by July 2026 after hitting $47 billion in May, underpins trader positioning around the $1.75–$2.25 trillion IPO-day market-cap bins. The company’s confidential S-1 filing in June and expected public prospectus release after Labor Day support an October 2026 listing window, with bankers targeting valuations above $2 trillion—more than double the $965 billion post-money from its May Series H round. This pricing reflects multiples applied to projected 2026 revenue of $100–120 billion amid strong Claude demand, though tempered by public-market caution over AI sustainability, heavy compute commitments, and the absence of direct listed peers. The close spread across leading outcomes highlights uncertainty ahead of the roadshow and final pricing, where actual first-day performance will test these growth assumptions against broader equity sentiment.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$1.75–$2.0T 27%
$2.0–$2.25T 20.8%
$2.25–$2.5T 17%
$1.5–$1.75T 12.3%
$566,037 Объем
$566,037 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
<$1.25T
1%
$1.25–$1.5T
2%
$1.5–$1.75T
12%
$1.75–$2.0T
27%
$2.0–$2.25T
21%
$2.25–$2.5T
17%
$2.5–$2.75T
11%
$2.75–$3.0T
5%
$3.0T+
8%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
<1%
$1.75–$2.0T 27%
$2.0–$2.25T 20.8%
$2.25–$2.5T 17%
$1.5–$1.75T 12.3%
$566,037 Объем
$566,037 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
<$1.25T
$76,638 Объем
1%
$1.25–$1.5T
$70,329 Объем
2%
$1.5–$1.75T
$88,845 Объем
12%
$1.75–$2.0T
$63,452 Объем
27%
$2.0–$2.25T
$71,527 Объем
21%
$2.25–$2.5T
$43,304 Объем
17%
$2.5–$2.75T
$47,251 Объем
11%
$2.75–$3.0T
$27,908 Объем
5%
$3.0T+
$39,265 Объем
8%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$37,518 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic’s accelerating revenue trajectory, with annualized run rates reaching $65 billion by July 2026 after hitting $47 billion in May, underpins trader positioning around the $1.75–$2.25 trillion IPO-day market-cap bins. The company’s confidential S-1 filing in June and expected public prospectus release after Labor Day support an October 2026 listing window, with bankers targeting valuations above $2 trillion—more than double the $965 billion post-money from its May Series H round. This pricing reflects multiples applied to projected 2026 revenue of $100–120 billion amid strong Claude demand, though tempered by public-market caution over AI sustainability, heavy compute commitments, and the absence of direct listed peers. The close spread across leading outcomes highlights uncertainty ahead of the roadshow and final pricing, where actual first-day performance will test these growth assumptions against broader equity sentiment.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Открытие рынка: Jun 1, 2026, 5:04 PM ET
Объем
$566,037Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 1, 2026, 5:04 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic’s accelerating revenue trajectory, with annualized run rates reaching $65 billion by July 2026 after hitting $47 billion in May, underpins trader positioning around the $1.75–$2.25 trillion IPO-day market-cap bins. The company’s confidential S-1 filing in June and expected public prospectus release after Labor Day support an October 2026 listing window, with bankers targeting valuations above $2 trillion—more than double the $965 billion post-money from its May Series H round. This pricing reflects multiples applied to projected 2026 revenue of $100–120 billion amid strong Claude demand, though tempered by public-market caution over AI sustainability, heavy compute commitments, and the absence of direct listed peers. The close spread across leading outcomes highlights uncertainty ahead of the roadshow and final pricing, where actual first-day performance will test these growth assumptions against broader equity sentiment.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Объем
$566,037Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 1, 2026, 5:04 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s accelerating revenue trajectory, with annualized run rates reaching $65 billion by July 2026 after hitting $47 billion in May, underpins trader positioning around the $1.75–$2.25 trillion IPO-day market-cap bins. The company’s confidential S-1 filing in June and expected public prospectus release after Labor Day support an October 2026 listing window, with bankers targeting valuations above $2 trillion—more than double the $965 billion post-money from its May Series H round. This pricing reflects multiples applied to projected 2026 revenue of $100–120 billion amid strong Claude demand, though tempered by public-market caution over AI sustainability, heavy compute commitments, and the absence of direct listed peers. The close spread across leading outcomes highlights uncertainty ahead of the roadshow and final pricing, where actual first-day performance will test these growth assumptions against broader equity sentiment.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Будет ли рыночная капитализация Anthropic составлять 600 млрд долларов США или больше к моменту закрытия рынка в день IPO до 31 декабря 2027 года?
97%
Да
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
82%
IPO Anthropic закроется с рыночной капитализацией выше $1,5 трлн?
94%
Да
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