Anthropic's release of Claude Opus 5 in late July 2026, positioned as a high-capability yet lower-cost alternative to the Fable 5 flagship with strong results in agentic coding and reasoning benchmarks, has shaped expectations for the next Opus iteration. The company's recent cadence of Opus point releases every one to three months, combined with the early September launch of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 updates, suggests traders are watching for either a 5.x refinement or a full next-generation Opus model. No official timeline or codename has been confirmed, leaving room for delays common in frontier large language model development amid competitive pressure from other labs and internal safety scaling priorities. Key upcoming signals include any Anthropic developer events or earnings-related commentary that could clarify the roadmap.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСледующий Клод Опус, выпущенный...?
Следующий Клод Опус, выпущенный...?
$107,283 Объем
30 сент. 2026 г.
30 сентября
83%
31 октября
99%
31 декабря
98%
$107,283 Объем
30 сентября
$47,441 Объем
83%
31 октября
$13,267 Объем
99%
31 декабря
$5,146 Объем
98%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's release of Claude Opus 5 in late July 2026, positioned as a high-capability yet lower-cost alternative to the Fable 5 flagship with strong results in agentic coding and reasoning benchmarks, has shaped expectations for the next Opus iteration. The company's recent cadence of Opus point releases every one to three months, combined with the early September launch of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 updates, suggests traders are watching for either a 5.x refinement or a full next-generation Opus model. No official timeline or codename has been confirmed, leaving room for delays common in frontier large language model development amid competitive pressure from other labs and internal safety scaling priorities. Key upcoming signals include any Anthropic developer events or earnings-related commentary that could clarify the roadmap.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ET
Объем
$107,283Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's release of Claude Opus 5 in late July 2026, positioned as a high-capability yet lower-cost alternative to the Fable 5 flagship with strong results in agentic coding and reasoning benchmarks, has shaped expectations for the next Opus iteration. The company's recent cadence of Opus point releases every one to three months, combined with the early September launch of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 updates, suggests traders are watching for either a 5.x refinement or a full next-generation Opus model. No official timeline or codename has been confirmed, leaving room for delays common in frontier large language model development amid competitive pressure from other labs and internal safety scaling priorities. Key upcoming signals include any Anthropic developer events or earnings-related commentary that could clarify the roadmap.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$107,283Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Anthropic's release of Claude Opus 5 in late July 2026, positioned as a high-capability yet lower-cost alternative to the Fable 5 flagship with strong results in agentic coding and reasoning benchmarks, has shaped expectations for the next Opus iteration. The company's recent cadence of Opus point releases every one to three months, combined with the early September launch of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 updates, suggests traders are watching for either a 5.x refinement or a full next-generation Opus model. No official timeline or codename has been confirmed, leaving room for delays common in frontier large language model development amid competitive pressure from other labs and internal safety scaling priorities. Key upcoming signals include any Anthropic developer events or earnings-related commentary that could clarify the roadmap.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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