Anthropic’s rapid cadence in the Claude 5 series drives current trader sentiment on the next Opus release. Opus 5 launched July 24, 2026, delivering near-Fable 5 performance at half the price on coding and agentic benchmarks while introducing stronger verification and lighter safeguards. This followed Fable 5 and Sonnet 5 by weeks, continuing a pattern of frequent frontier-tier updates that has compressed typical release cycles. Traders are now pricing in a late-September window after September 1 launches of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1, which refined coding and research capabilities. Key swing factors include any new leaks from developer tools, internal roadmap signals, or competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google models that could accelerate or delay the next Opus iteration.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСледующий Клод Опус, выпущенный...?
$107,418 Объем
30 сентября
83%
31 октября
99%
31 декабря
98%
$107,418 Объем
30 сентября
83%
31 октября
99%
31 декабря
98%
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Кто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s rapid cadence in the Claude 5 series drives current trader sentiment on the next Opus release. Opus 5 launched July 24, 2026, delivering near-Fable 5 performance at half the price on coding and agentic benchmarks while introducing stronger verification and lighter safeguards. This followed Fable 5 and Sonnet 5 by weeks, continuing a pattern of frequent frontier-tier updates that has compressed typical release cycles. Traders are now pricing in a late-September window after September 1 launches of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1, which refined coding and research capabilities. Key swing factors include any new leaks from developer tools, internal roadmap signals, or competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google models that could accelerate or delay the next Opus iteration.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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