Anthropic’s rapid cadence in the Claude 5 series drives current trader sentiment on the next Opus release. Opus 5 launched July 24, 2026, delivering near-Fable 5 performance at half the price on coding and agentic benchmarks while introducing stronger verification and lighter safeguards. This followed Fable 5 and Sonnet 5 by weeks, continuing a pattern of frequent frontier-tier updates that has compressed typical release cycles. Traders are now pricing in a late-September window after September 1 launches of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1, which refined coding and research capabilities. Key swing factors include any new leaks from developer tools, internal roadmap signals, or competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google models that could accelerate or delay the next Opus iteration.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСледующий Клод Опус, выпущенный...?
Следующий Клод Опус, выпущенный...?
$107,418 Объем
30 сент. 2026 г.
30 сентября
83%
31 октября
99%
31 декабря
98%
$107,418 Объем
30 сентября
$47,491 Объем
83%
31 октября
$13,267 Объем
99%
31 декабря
$5,146 Объем
98%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s rapid cadence in the Claude 5 series drives current trader sentiment on the next Opus release. Opus 5 launched July 24, 2026, delivering near-Fable 5 performance at half the price on coding and agentic benchmarks while introducing stronger verification and lighter safeguards. This followed Fable 5 and Sonnet 5 by weeks, continuing a pattern of frequent frontier-tier updates that has compressed typical release cycles. Traders are now pricing in a late-September window after September 1 launches of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1, which refined coding and research capabilities. Key swing factors include any new leaks from developer tools, internal roadmap signals, or competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google models that could accelerate or delay the next Opus iteration.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ET
Объем
$107,418Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s rapid cadence in the Claude 5 series drives current trader sentiment on the next Opus release. Opus 5 launched July 24, 2026, delivering near-Fable 5 performance at half the price on coding and agentic benchmarks while introducing stronger verification and lighter safeguards. This followed Fable 5 and Sonnet 5 by weeks, continuing a pattern of frequent frontier-tier updates that has compressed typical release cycles. Traders are now pricing in a late-September window after September 1 launches of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1, which refined coding and research capabilities. Key swing factors include any new leaks from developer tools, internal roadmap signals, or competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google models that could accelerate or delay the next Opus iteration.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$107,418Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s rapid cadence in the Claude 5 series drives current trader sentiment on the next Opus release. Opus 5 launched July 24, 2026, delivering near-Fable 5 performance at half the price on coding and agentic benchmarks while introducing stronger verification and lighter safeguards. This followed Fable 5 and Sonnet 5 by weeks, continuing a pattern of frequent frontier-tier updates that has compressed typical release cycles. Traders are now pricing in a late-September window after September 1 launches of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1, which refined coding and research capabilities. Key swing factors include any new leaks from developer tools, internal roadmap signals, or competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google models that could accelerate or delay the next Opus iteration.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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