Google's repeated delays of Gemini 3.5 Pro, originally promised for June after the May I/O conference, continue to shape trader views on the next Pro release. Technical shortfalls in coding and long-horizon agentic tasks prompted a late-June training data reset and extended partner testing, with the model still lacking an API identifier or pricing as of late August. Google has instead shipped rapid Flash updates, including 3.7 Flash in mid-August, while confirming pre-training has begun on the more ambitious Gemini 4. Intense competition from OpenAI and Anthropic frontier models adds pressure, leaving the 3.5 Pro timeline uncertain and raising the possibility of an effective skip to the next generation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСледующая модель Google Gemini Pro выпущена...?
Следующая модель Google Gemini Pro выпущена...?
$1,195,470 Объем
31 авг. 2026 г.
31 августа
<1%
September 15
6%
September 30
16%
October 31
68%
$1,195,470 Объем
31 августа
$346,410 Объем
<1%
September 15
$7,769 Объем
6%
September 30
$26,795 Объем
16%
October 31
$5,620 Объем
68%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's repeated delays of Gemini 3.5 Pro, originally promised for June after the May I/O conference, continue to shape trader views on the next Pro release. Technical shortfalls in coding and long-horizon agentic tasks prompted a late-June training data reset and extended partner testing, with the model still lacking an API identifier or pricing as of late August. Google has instead shipped rapid Flash updates, including 3.7 Flash in mid-August, while confirming pre-training has begun on the more ambitious Gemini 4. Intense competition from OpenAI and Anthropic frontier models adds pressure, leaving the 3.5 Pro timeline uncertain and raising the possibility of an effective skip to the next generation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Jul 14, 2026, 6:50 PM ET
Объем
$1,195,470Дата окончания
1 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 14, 2026, 6:50 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's repeated delays of Gemini 3.5 Pro, originally promised for June after the May I/O conference, continue to shape trader views on the next Pro release. Technical shortfalls in coding and long-horizon agentic tasks prompted a late-June training data reset and extended partner testing, with the model still lacking an API identifier or pricing as of late August. Google has instead shipped rapid Flash updates, including 3.7 Flash in mid-August, while confirming pre-training has begun on the more ambitious Gemini 4. Intense competition from OpenAI and Anthropic frontier models adds pressure, leaving the 3.5 Pro timeline uncertain and raising the possibility of an effective skip to the next generation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$1,195,470Дата окончания
1 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 14, 2026, 6:50 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Google's repeated delays of Gemini 3.5 Pro, originally promised for June after the May I/O conference, continue to shape trader views on the next Pro release. Technical shortfalls in coding and long-horizon agentic tasks prompted a late-June training data reset and extended partner testing, with the model still lacking an API identifier or pricing as of late August. Google has instead shipped rapid Flash updates, including 3.7 Flash in mid-August, while confirming pre-training has begun on the more ambitious Gemini 4. Intense competition from OpenAI and Anthropic frontier models adds pressure, leaving the 3.5 Pro timeline uncertain and raising the possibility of an effective skip to the next generation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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