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Технологии·AI

Еще одна пограничная математическая задача, решенная...?

icon for Еще одна пограничная математическая задача, решенная...?
Технологии·AI

Еще одна пограничная математическая задача, решенная...?

сент. 30

сент. 30

НОВОЕ
15 сент. 2026 г.
Polymarket

$40 Объем

Polymarket

15 сентября

$0 Объем

45%

30 сентября

$40 Объем

62%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Epoch AI marks at least one additional FrontierMath: Open Problems problem as “Solved,” or otherwise officially states that such a problem has been solved, between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Any problems that Epoch AI already classified as solved before market issuance will not qualify for resolution. Only problems newly classified by Epoch AI as solved after market issuance may qualify. If Epoch AI adds new problems to FrontierMath: Open Problems after market creation, those problems will be considered for resolution. This market will resolve solely based on Epoch AI’s classification or official determination that a qualifying problem has been solved, regardless of the degree of artificial intelligence involvement. A verifier-accepted submission, publicly posted solution, partial result, or third-party claim will not qualify on its own unless Epoch AI recognizes the problem as solved. The primary resolution source will be official information from Epoch AI, including https://epoch.ai/frontiermath/open-problems.Recent breakthroughs by frontier AI systems have driven strong trader consensus that another genuinely open research problem on Epoch AI’s FrontierMath: Open Problems benchmark will be solved soon. OpenAI’s Astra model delivered ten verified advances on long-standing questions in August 2026, while Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5 produced a counterexample to the Jacobian conjecture and contributed to solutions such as the Hadamard matrix of order 668. Google’s Aletheia agent and GPT-5.6 variants now lead private leaderboards on Tier 4 and open-problem sets, with multiple independent AI-led resolutions already confirmed since the benchmark’s pilot launch. Competitive pressure among labs, rapid scaling of reasoning scaffolds, and expanding verified problem catalogs keep the probability elevated through year-end, though exact timing remains sensitive to new model releases and verification standards.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Epoch AI marks at least one additional FrontierMath: Open Problems problem as “Solved,” or otherwise officially states that such a problem has been solved, between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

Any problems that Epoch AI already classified as solved before market issuance will not qualify for resolution. Only problems newly classified by Epoch AI as solved after market issuance may qualify. If Epoch AI adds new problems to FrontierMath: Open Problems after market creation, those problems will be considered for resolution.

This market will resolve solely based on Epoch AI’s classification or official determination that a qualifying problem has been solved, regardless of the degree of artificial intelligence involvement. A verifier-accepted submission, publicly posted solution, partial result, or third-party claim will not qualify on its own unless Epoch AI recognizes the problem as solved.

The primary resolution source will be official information from Epoch AI, including https://epoch.ai/frontiermath/open-problems.
Объем
$40
Дата окончания
30 сент. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 28, 2026, 6:20 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Epoch AI marks at least one additional FrontierMath: Open Problems problem as “Solved,” or otherwise officially states that such a problem has been solved, between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Any problems that Epoch AI already classified as solved before market issuance will not qualify for resolution. Only problems newly classified by Epoch AI as solved after market issuance may qualify. If Epoch AI adds new problems to FrontierMath: Open Problems after market creation, those problems will be considered for resolution. This market will resolve solely based on Epoch AI’s classification or official determination that a qualifying problem has been solved, regardless of the degree of artificial intelligence involvement. A verifier-accepted submission, publicly posted solution, partial result, or third-party claim will not qualify on its own unless Epoch AI recognizes the problem as solved. The primary resolution source will be official information from Epoch AI, including https://epoch.ai/frontiermath/open-problems.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Epoch AI marks at least one additional FrontierMath: Open Problems problem as “Solved,” or otherwise officially states that such a problem has been solved, between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Any problems that Epoch AI already classified as solved before market issuance will not qualify for resolution. Only problems newly classified by Epoch AI as solved after market issuance may qualify. If Epoch AI adds new problems to FrontierMath: Open Problems after market creation, those problems will be considered for resolution. This market will resolve solely based on Epoch AI’s classification or official determination that a qualifying problem has been solved, regardless of the degree of artificial intelligence involvement. A verifier-accepted submission, publicly posted solution, partial result, or third-party claim will not qualify on its own unless Epoch AI recognizes the problem as solved. The primary resolution source will be official information from Epoch AI, including https://epoch.ai/frontiermath/open-problems.Recent breakthroughs by frontier AI systems have driven strong trader consensus that another genuinely open research problem on Epoch AI’s FrontierMath: Open Problems benchmark will be solved soon. OpenAI’s Astra model delivered ten verified advances on long-standing questions in August 2026, while Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5 produced a counterexample to the Jacobian conjecture and contributed to solutions such as the Hadamard matrix of order 668. Google’s Aletheia agent and GPT-5.6 variants now lead private leaderboards on Tier 4 and open-problem sets, with multiple independent AI-led resolutions already confirmed since the benchmark’s pilot launch. Competitive pressure among labs, rapid scaling of reasoning scaffolds, and expanding verified problem catalogs keep the probability elevated through year-end, though exact timing remains sensitive to new model releases and verification standards.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Epoch AI marks at least one additional FrontierMath: Open Problems problem as “Solved,” or otherwise officially states that such a problem has been solved, between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

Any problems that Epoch AI already classified as solved before market issuance will not qualify for resolution. Only problems newly classified by Epoch AI as solved after market issuance may qualify. If Epoch AI adds new problems to FrontierMath: Open Problems after market creation, those problems will be considered for resolution.

This market will resolve solely based on Epoch AI’s classification or official determination that a qualifying problem has been solved, regardless of the degree of artificial intelligence involvement. A verifier-accepted submission, publicly posted solution, partial result, or third-party claim will not qualify on its own unless Epoch AI recognizes the problem as solved.

The primary resolution source will be official information from Epoch AI, including https://epoch.ai/frontiermath/open-problems.
Объем
$40
Дата окончания
30 сент. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 28, 2026, 6:20 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Epoch AI marks at least one additional FrontierMath: Open Problems problem as “Solved,” or otherwise officially states that such a problem has been solved, between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Any problems that Epoch AI already classified as solved before market issuance will not qualify for resolution. Only problems newly classified by Epoch AI as solved after market issuance may qualify. If Epoch AI adds new problems to FrontierMath: Open Problems after market creation, those problems will be considered for resolution. This market will resolve solely based on Epoch AI’s classification or official determination that a qualifying problem has been solved, regardless of the degree of artificial intelligence involvement. A verifier-accepted submission, publicly posted solution, partial result, or third-party claim will not qualify on its own unless Epoch AI recognizes the problem as solved. The primary resolution source will be official information from Epoch AI, including https://epoch.ai/frontiermath/open-problems.

Связанные

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90%
Да
icon for Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?

Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?

65%
icon for Отключение ChatGPT к 30 сентября 2026 года?

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86%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

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«Еще одна пограничная математическая задача, решенная...?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Aug 28, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

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Текущий фаворит для «Еще одна пограничная математическая задача, решенная...?» — «30 сентября» с 62%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 62%. Следующий ближайший исход — «15 сентября» с 45%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Еще одна пограничная математическая задача, решенная...?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.