Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on June 1, 2026, remains the dominant catalyst behind the 62% market-implied probability for an October 2026 IPO, as the standard three-to-six-month review window positions a fall listing as the procedural baseline. Strong revenue momentum, multi-billion-dollar backing from Amazon and Google, and reported engagement with Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Morgan Stanley have reinforced trader confidence that the company can meet the necessary milestones ahead of broader AI-market volatility. While secondary-market valuations near $1.2 trillion underscore robust demand, outcomes could still shift if regulatory feedback extends the timeline or macro conditions deteriorate. The next key catalysts include any public S-1 release and final pricing decisions, both expected to clarify whether September or October remains feasible.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоОктябрь 2026 года 62%
Ноябрь 2026 11%
Сентябрь 2026 9%
Июнь 2027 года 6%
Сентябрь 2026
9%
Октябрь 2026 года
62%
Ноябрь 2026
11%
Декабрь 2026 года
5%
Январь 2027 года
5%
Февраль 2027 года
5%
Март 2027 года
5%
Апрель 2027 года
4%
Май 2027
5%
Июнь 2027 года
6%
Июль 2027
4%
Август 2027 года
4%
Сентябрь 2027
4%
Октябрь 2027 года
1%
Ноябрь 2027 года
4%
Декабрь 2027 года
4%
Нет IPO до 2028 года
5%
Октябрь 2026 года 62%
Ноябрь 2026 11%
Сентябрь 2026 9%
Июнь 2027 года 6%
Сентябрь 2026
9%
Октябрь 2026 года
62%
Ноябрь 2026
11%
Декабрь 2026 года
5%
Январь 2027 года
5%
Февраль 2027 года
5%
Март 2027 года
5%
Апрель 2027 года
4%
Май 2027
5%
Июнь 2027 года
6%
Июль 2027
4%
Август 2027 года
4%
Сентябрь 2027
4%
Октябрь 2027 года
1%
Ноябрь 2027 года
4%
Декабрь 2027 года
4%
Нет IPO до 2028 года
5%
An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.
If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Открытие рынка: Aug 19, 2026, 9:36 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.
If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on June 1, 2026, remains the dominant catalyst behind the 62% market-implied probability for an October 2026 IPO, as the standard three-to-six-month review window positions a fall listing as the procedural baseline. Strong revenue momentum, multi-billion-dollar backing from Amazon and Google, and reported engagement with Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Morgan Stanley have reinforced trader confidence that the company can meet the necessary milestones ahead of broader AI-market volatility. While secondary-market valuations near $1.2 trillion underscore robust demand, outcomes could still shift if regulatory feedback extends the timeline or macro conditions deteriorate. The next key catalysts include any public S-1 release and final pricing decisions, both expected to clarify whether September or October remains feasible.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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