Google’s repeated delays for the flagship Gemini 3.5 Pro large language model underpin the market’s 54% implied probability of no release by September 30. Originally targeted for June after the May I/O announcement and later slipped to July, the Pro variant remains unavailable as of mid-August while lighter Gemini 3.6 Flash, 3.5 Flash-Lite, and related models reached general availability in July. Official statements confirm partner testing and “coming soon” status without a firm date, alongside early Gemini 4 training. This pattern of timeline slippage, absent new announcements or regulatory catalysts, sustains trader consensus favoring later resolution while leaving modest September odds open to surprise early partner rollouts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСледующая модель Google Gemini Pro выпущена...?
Следующая модель Google Gemini Pro выпущена...?
Нет выпуска до 30 сентября 54%
23 сентября 6%
2 сентября 5%
20 сентября 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
1 сент. 2026 г.
До или 1 сентября
3%
2 сентября
5%
3 сентября
5%
4 сентября
5%
5 сентября
5%
6 сентября
5%
7 сентября
5%
8 сентября
4%
9 сентября
4%
10 сентября
4%
11 сентября
5%
12 сентября
5%
13 сентября
4%
14 сентября
5%
15 сентября
5%
16 сентября
4%
17 сентября
3%
18 сентября
5%
19 сентября
3%
20 сентября
5%
21 сентября
5%
22 сентября
5%
23 сентября
6%
24 сентября
5%
25 сентября
5%
26 сентября
3%
27 сентября
5%
28 сентября
5%
29 сентября
4%
30 сентября
4%
Нет выпуска до 30 сентября
54%
Нет выпуска до 30 сентября 54%
23 сентября 6%
2 сентября 5%
20 сентября 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
1 сент. 2026 г.
До или 1 сентября
$93 Объем
3%
2 сентября
$68 Объем
5%
3 сентября
$58 Объем
5%
4 сентября
$58 Объем
5%
5 сентября
$58 Объем
5%
6 сентября
$58 Объем
5%
7 сентября
$58 Объем
5%
8 сентября
$58 Объем
4%
9 сентября
$58 Объем
4%
10 сентября
$58 Объем
4%
11 сентября
$58 Объем
5%
12 сентября
$58 Объем
5%
13 сентября
$58 Объем
4%
14 сентября
$58 Объем
5%
15 сентября
$58 Объем
5%
16 сентября
$58 Объем
4%
17 сентября
$58 Объем
3%
18 сентября
$61 Объем
5%
19 сентября
$58 Объем
3%
20 сентября
$58 Объем
5%
21 сентября
$58 Объем
5%
22 сентября
$58 Объем
5%
23 сентября
$58 Объем
6%
24 сентября
$58 Объем
5%
25 сентября
$58 Объем
5%
26 сентября
$58 Объем
3%
27 сентября
$58 Объем
5%
28 сентября
$58 Объем
5%
29 сентября
$128 Объем
4%
30 сентября
$137 Объем
4%
Нет выпуска до 30 сентября
$312 Объем
54%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s repeated delays for the flagship Gemini 3.5 Pro large language model underpin the market’s 54% implied probability of no release by September 30. Originally targeted for June after the May I/O announcement and later slipped to July, the Pro variant remains unavailable as of mid-August while lighter Gemini 3.6 Flash, 3.5 Flash-Lite, and related models reached general availability in July. Official statements confirm partner testing and “coming soon” status without a firm date, alongside early Gemini 4 training. This pattern of timeline slippage, absent new announcements or regulatory catalysts, sustains trader consensus favoring later resolution while leaving modest September odds open to surprise early partner rollouts.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Aug 17, 2026, 7:31 PM ET
Объем
$2,254Дата окончания
30 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 7:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s repeated delays for the flagship Gemini 3.5 Pro large language model underpin the market’s 54% implied probability of no release by September 30. Originally targeted for June after the May I/O announcement and later slipped to July, the Pro variant remains unavailable as of mid-August while lighter Gemini 3.6 Flash, 3.5 Flash-Lite, and related models reached general availability in July. Official statements confirm partner testing and “coming soon” status without a firm date, alongside early Gemini 4 training. This pattern of timeline slippage, absent new announcements or regulatory catalysts, sustains trader consensus favoring later resolution while leaving modest September odds open to surprise early partner rollouts.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$2,254Дата окончания
30 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 7:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Google’s repeated delays for the flagship Gemini 3.5 Pro large language model underpin the market’s 54% implied probability of no release by September 30. Originally targeted for June after the May I/O announcement and later slipped to July, the Pro variant remains unavailable as of mid-August while lighter Gemini 3.6 Flash, 3.5 Flash-Lite, and related models reached general availability in July. Official statements confirm partner testing and “coming soon” status without a firm date, alongside early Gemini 4 training. This pattern of timeline slippage, absent new announcements or regulatory catalysts, sustains trader consensus favoring later resolution while leaving modest September odds open to surprise early partner rollouts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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