Skip to main content
icon for Следующая Meta Muse Spark (1.3+) выпущена...?

Следующая Meta Muse Spark (1.3+) выпущена...?

icon for Следующая Meta Muse Spark (1.3+) выпущена...?

Следующая Meta Muse Spark (1.3+) выпущена...?

НОВОЕ
31 авг. 2026 г.
Polymarket

$21 Объем

Polymarket

31 августа

$0 Объем

40%

30 сентября

$21 Объем

53%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta's next Muse Spark model (1.3+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Muse Spark" and be designated as version 1.3 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 1.3 or higher named in the same manner as Muse Spark 1.1 or Muse Spark 1.2 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Muse Spark 2, while models whose name does not include "Muse Spark" or which retain a version designation below 1.3, such as Muse Spark 1.2 (including any open-weight re-release of it), Muse Glimmer, or Muse Image, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Meta’s Superintelligence Labs, led by Alexandr Wang, has accelerated its Muse Spark iteration cadence since launching the initial closed-source model in April 2026. Version 1.1 followed in July with gains in agentic tool use, coding, and multimodal reasoning, accompanied by a public Meta Model API preview and paid token pricing that directly competes with OpenAI and Anthropic offerings. The 1.2 update arrived August 5, continuing the focus on performance-efficiency improvements. Traders monitor release velocity, internal scaling signals, and Meta’s earnings commentary for clues on 1.3+ timing, while noting that product timelines in frontier AI often shift due to benchmark results or competitive positioning.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta's next Muse Spark model (1.3+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Muse Spark" and be designated as version 1.3 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 1.3 or higher named in the same manner as Muse Spark 1.1 or Muse Spark 1.2 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Muse Spark 2, while models whose name does not include "Muse Spark" or which retain a version designation below 1.3, such as Muse Spark 1.2 (including any open-weight re-release of it), Muse Glimmer, or Muse Image, will not qualify.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$21
Дата окончания
30 сент. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta's next Muse Spark model (1.3+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Muse Spark" and be designated as version 1.3 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 1.3 or higher named in the same manner as Muse Spark 1.1 or Muse Spark 1.2 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Muse Spark 2, while models whose name does not include "Muse Spark" or which retain a version designation below 1.3, such as Muse Spark 1.2 (including any open-weight re-release of it), Muse Glimmer, or Muse Image, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta's next Muse Spark model (1.3+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Muse Spark" and be designated as version 1.3 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 1.3 or higher named in the same manner as Muse Spark 1.1 or Muse Spark 1.2 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Muse Spark 2, while models whose name does not include "Muse Spark" or which retain a version designation below 1.3, such as Muse Spark 1.2 (including any open-weight re-release of it), Muse Glimmer, or Muse Image, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Meta’s Superintelligence Labs, led by Alexandr Wang, has accelerated its Muse Spark iteration cadence since launching the initial closed-source model in April 2026. Version 1.1 followed in July with gains in agentic tool use, coding, and multimodal reasoning, accompanied by a public Meta Model API preview and paid token pricing that directly competes with OpenAI and Anthropic offerings. The 1.2 update arrived August 5, continuing the focus on performance-efficiency improvements. Traders monitor release velocity, internal scaling signals, and Meta’s earnings commentary for clues on 1.3+ timing, while noting that product timelines in frontier AI often shift due to benchmark results or competitive positioning.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta's next Muse Spark model (1.3+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Muse Spark" and be designated as version 1.3 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 1.3 or higher named in the same manner as Muse Spark 1.1 or Muse Spark 1.2 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Muse Spark 2, while models whose name does not include "Muse Spark" or which retain a version designation below 1.3, such as Muse Spark 1.2 (including any open-weight re-release of it), Muse Glimmer, or Muse Image, will not qualify.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$21
Дата окончания
30 сент. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta's next Muse Spark model (1.3+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Muse Spark" and be designated as version 1.3 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 1.3 or higher named in the same manner as Muse Spark 1.1 or Muse Spark 1.2 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Muse Spark 2, while models whose name does not include "Muse Spark" or which retain a version designation below 1.3, such as Muse Spark 1.2 (including any open-weight re-release of it), Muse Glimmer, or Muse Image, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Следующая Meta Muse Spark (1.3+) выпущена...?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 2 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «30 сентября» с 54%, за ним следует «31 августа» с 40%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 54¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 54%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Следующая Meta Muse Spark (1.3+) выпущена...?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Aug 14, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Следующая Meta Muse Spark (1.3+) выпущена...?», просмотри 2 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Следующая Meta Muse Spark (1.3+) выпущена...?» — «30 сентября» с 54%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 54%. Следующий ближайший исход — «31 августа» с 40%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Следующая Meta Muse Spark (1.3+) выпущена...?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.