Alibaba and Google hold the strongest market-implied odds for third place on the Text Arena Math leaderboard by late October because their latest Qwen and Gemini iterations have posted competitive scores in recent math-specific evaluations on arena.ai, where user votes and automated checks reward precise reasoning on competition problems. Chinese labs like Alibaba, Moonshot, and Z.ai differentiate through targeted training on advanced math datasets, while Google and OpenAI leverage broader scaling and post-training refinements that close gaps on benchmarks such as MATH and AIME. The tight spread among top contenders reflects ongoing model releases and the risk that a single strong update from any lab could reorder rankings before resolution, with traders watching for verifiable leaderboard shifts in the coming weeks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоТретья лучшая математическая ИИ-лаборатория текстовой арены в конце октября?
Третья лучшая математическая ИИ-лаборатория текстовой арены в конце октября?
Alibaba 30%
Google 27%
Moonshot 20%
OpenAI 16%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 окт. 2026 г.
Alibaba
30%
27%
Moonshot
15%
OpenAI
16%
Meituan
9%
Anthropic
7%
Z.ai
7%
Nvidia
5%
Baidu
5%
Meta
4%
Mistral
6%
MiniMax
4%
Bytedance
4%
StepFun
1%
Xiaomi
1%
SpaceXAI
1%
Tencent
1%
Amazon
1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Alibaba 30%
Google 27%
Moonshot 20%
OpenAI 16%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 окт. 2026 г.
Alibaba
$806 Объем
30%
$2,530 Объем
27%
Moonshot
$205 Объем
15%
OpenAI
$334 Объем
16%
Meituan
$590 Объем
9%
Anthropic
$195 Объем
7%
Z.ai
$305 Объем
7%
Nvidia
$263 Объем
5%
Baidu
$225 Объем
5%
Meta
$199 Объем
4%
Mistral
$284 Объем
6%
MiniMax
$272 Объем
4%
Bytedance
$273 Объем
4%
StepFun
$144 Объем
1%
Xiaomi
$195 Объем
1%
SpaceXAI
$190 Объем
1%
Tencent
$180 Объем
1%
Amazon
$195 Объем
1%
DeepSeek
$180 Объем
<1%
Microsoft
$143 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Alibaba and Google hold the strongest market-implied odds for third place on the Text Arena Math leaderboard by late October because their latest Qwen and Gemini iterations have posted competitive scores in recent math-specific evaluations on arena.ai, where user votes and automated checks reward precise reasoning on competition problems. Chinese labs like Alibaba, Moonshot, and Z.ai differentiate through targeted training on advanced math datasets, while Google and OpenAI leverage broader scaling and post-training refinements that close gaps on benchmarks such as MATH and AIME. The tight spread among top contenders reflects ongoing model releases and the risk that a single strong update from any lab could reorder rankings before resolution, with traders watching for verifiable leaderboard shifts in the coming weeks.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Открытие рынка: Aug 12, 2026, 7:54 PM ET
Объем
$7,710Дата окончания
31 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 12, 2026, 7:54 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Alibaba and Google hold the strongest market-implied odds for third place on the Text Arena Math leaderboard by late October because their latest Qwen and Gemini iterations have posted competitive scores in recent math-specific evaluations on arena.ai, where user votes and automated checks reward precise reasoning on competition problems. Chinese labs like Alibaba, Moonshot, and Z.ai differentiate through targeted training on advanced math datasets, while Google and OpenAI leverage broader scaling and post-training refinements that close gaps on benchmarks such as MATH and AIME. The tight spread among top contenders reflects ongoing model releases and the risk that a single strong update from any lab could reorder rankings before resolution, with traders watching for verifiable leaderboard shifts in the coming weeks.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Объем
$7,710Дата окончания
31 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 12, 2026, 7:54 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Alibaba and Google hold the strongest market-implied odds for third place on the Text Arena Math leaderboard by late October because their latest Qwen and Gemini iterations have posted competitive scores in recent math-specific evaluations on arena.ai, where user votes and automated checks reward precise reasoning on competition problems. Chinese labs like Alibaba, Moonshot, and Z.ai differentiate through targeted training on advanced math datasets, while Google and OpenAI leverage broader scaling and post-training refinements that close gaps on benchmarks such as MATH and AIME. The tight spread among top contenders reflects ongoing model releases and the risk that a single strong update from any lab could reorder rankings before resolution, with traders watching for verifiable leaderboard shifts in the coming weeks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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