OpenAI’s pursuit of a $1 trillion-plus IPO valuation, reinforced by CEO Sam Altman’s reported stance and recent revenue momentum, drives the 48.1% implied probability on a $1.5 trillion-plus closing market cap. After a March 2026 round at an $852 billion post-money valuation, the company confidentially filed its S-1 in June while posting a $40 billion annualized revenue run rate by mid-August 2026—more than double year-end 2025 levels—with enterprise and coding products accelerating. CFO Sarah Friar’s August 19 all-hands comments framing a 2027 debut, potentially earlier on continued growth, align with trader consensus pricing in a meaningful delay and premium multiple at listing. Market-implied odds on no IPO by December 31, 2027, at 17.0% reflect this flexibility amid infrastructure priorities and comparable AI listings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено1,5Т+ 48.1%
Без IPO до 31 декабря 2027 года 16.9%
1–1,25 трлн 16.1%
1,25–1,5 трлн 15%
$159,341 Объем
$159,341 Объем
30 дек. 2027 г.
<500 млрд
<1%
500–750 млрд
1%
750 млрд – 1 трлн
6%
1–1,25 трлн
16%
1,25–1,5 трлн
15%
1,5Т+
48%
Без IPO до 31 декабря 2027 года
17%
1,5Т+ 48.1%
Без IPO до 31 декабря 2027 года 16.9%
1–1,25 трлн 16.1%
1,25–1,5 трлн 15%
$159,341 Объем
$159,341 Объем
30 дек. 2027 г.
<500 млрд
$11,921 Объем
<1%
500–750 млрд
$16,478 Объем
1%
750 млрд – 1 трлн
$22,098 Объем
6%
1–1,25 трлн
$21,710 Объем
16%
1,25–1,5 трлн
$12,928 Объем
15%
1,5Т+
$40,066 Объем
48%
Без IPO до 31 декабря 2027 года
$34,141 Объем
17%
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI’s pursuit of a $1 trillion-plus IPO valuation, reinforced by CEO Sam Altman’s reported stance and recent revenue momentum, drives the 48.1% implied probability on a $1.5 trillion-plus closing market cap. After a March 2026 round at an $852 billion post-money valuation, the company confidentially filed its S-1 in June while posting a $40 billion annualized revenue run rate by mid-August 2026—more than double year-end 2025 levels—with enterprise and coding products accelerating. CFO Sarah Friar’s August 19 all-hands comments framing a 2027 debut, potentially earlier on continued growth, align with trader consensus pricing in a meaningful delay and premium multiple at listing. Market-implied odds on no IPO by December 31, 2027, at 17.0% reflect this flexibility amid infrastructure priorities and comparable AI listings.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Открытие рынка: Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
Объем
$159,341Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI’s pursuit of a $1 trillion-plus IPO valuation, reinforced by CEO Sam Altman’s reported stance and recent revenue momentum, drives the 48.1% implied probability on a $1.5 trillion-plus closing market cap. After a March 2026 round at an $852 billion post-money valuation, the company confidentially filed its S-1 in June while posting a $40 billion annualized revenue run rate by mid-August 2026—more than double year-end 2025 levels—with enterprise and coding products accelerating. CFO Sarah Friar’s August 19 all-hands comments framing a 2027 debut, potentially earlier on continued growth, align with trader consensus pricing in a meaningful delay and premium multiple at listing. Market-implied odds on no IPO by December 31, 2027, at 17.0% reflect this flexibility amid infrastructure priorities and comparable AI listings.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Объем
$159,341Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...OpenAI’s pursuit of a $1 trillion-plus IPO valuation, reinforced by CEO Sam Altman’s reported stance and recent revenue momentum, drives the 48.1% implied probability on a $1.5 trillion-plus closing market cap. After a March 2026 round at an $852 billion post-money valuation, the company confidentially filed its S-1 in June while posting a $40 billion annualized revenue run rate by mid-August 2026—more than double year-end 2025 levels—with enterprise and coding products accelerating. CFO Sarah Friar’s August 19 all-hands comments framing a 2027 debut, potentially earlier on continued growth, align with trader consensus pricing in a meaningful delay and premium multiple at listing. Market-implied odds on no IPO by December 31, 2027, at 17.0% reflect this flexibility amid infrastructure priorities and comparable AI listings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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