Databricks' recent funding rounds at escalating private valuations near $190 billion, supported by annualized revenue exceeding $7 billion and growth above 80% year-over-year, anchor trader expectations for a substantial IPO debut. CEO Ali Ghodsi's decision to defer listing until 2027 amid a crowded market of major tech offerings introduces timing uncertainty, while AI platform momentum and enterprise adoption support premium multiples relative to peers like Snowflake. Closely matched probabilities across $150-450 billion buckets reflect debate over post-IPO expansion potential versus execution risks and market conditions at debut, with the 21% chance of no IPO by end-2027 underscoring delayed resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$200 млрд — $250 млрд 96%
250–300 млрд долларов 96%
300–350 млрд $ 96%
$350 млрд — $400 млрд 96%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 дек. 2027 г.
< $150 млрд
-
150–200 млрд долларов
-
$200 млрд — $250 млрд
96%
250–300 млрд долларов
96%
300–350 млрд $
96%
$350 млрд — $400 млрд
96%
$400–$450 млрд
-
$450 млрд+
-
Нет IPO до 31 декабря 2027 года
21%
$200 млрд — $250 млрд 96%
250–300 млрд долларов 96%
300–350 млрд $ 96%
$350 млрд — $400 млрд 96%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 дек. 2027 г.
< $150 млрд
$18 Объем
-
150–200 млрд долларов
$18 Объем
-
$200 млрд — $250 млрд
$18 Объем
96%
250–300 млрд долларов
$18 Объем
96%
300–350 млрд $
$18 Объем
96%
$350 млрд — $400 млрд
$18 Объем
96%
$400–$450 млрд
$18 Объем
-
$450 млрд+
$18 Объем
-
Нет IPO до 31 декабря 2027 года
$272 Объем
21%
This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Databricks' recent funding rounds at escalating private valuations near $190 billion, supported by annualized revenue exceeding $7 billion and growth above 80% year-over-year, anchor trader expectations for a substantial IPO debut. CEO Ali Ghodsi's decision to defer listing until 2027 amid a crowded market of major tech offerings introduces timing uncertainty, while AI platform momentum and enterprise adoption support premium multiples relative to peers like Snowflake. Closely matched probabilities across $150-450 billion buckets reflect debate over post-IPO expansion potential versus execution risks and market conditions at debut, with the 21% chance of no IPO by end-2027 underscoring delayed resolution.
This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Открытие рынка: Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ET
Объем
$416Дата окончания
1 янв. 2028 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Databricks' recent funding rounds at escalating private valuations near $190 billion, supported by annualized revenue exceeding $7 billion and growth above 80% year-over-year, anchor trader expectations for a substantial IPO debut. CEO Ali Ghodsi's decision to defer listing until 2027 amid a crowded market of major tech offerings introduces timing uncertainty, while AI platform momentum and enterprise adoption support premium multiples relative to peers like Snowflake. Closely matched probabilities across $150-450 billion buckets reflect debate over post-IPO expansion potential versus execution risks and market conditions at debut, with the 21% chance of no IPO by end-2027 underscoring delayed resolution.
This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Объем
$416Дата окончания
1 янв. 2028 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Databricks' recent funding rounds at escalating private valuations near $190 billion, supported by annualized revenue exceeding $7 billion and growth above 80% year-over-year, anchor trader expectations for a substantial IPO debut. CEO Ali Ghodsi's decision to defer listing until 2027 amid a crowded market of major tech offerings introduces timing uncertainty, while AI platform momentum and enterprise adoption support premium multiples relative to peers like Snowflake. Closely matched probabilities across $150-450 billion buckets reflect debate over post-IPO expansion potential versus execution risks and market conditions at debut, with the 21% chance of no IPO by end-2027 underscoring delayed resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы