OpenAI’s pursuit of a $1 trillion IPO valuation remains the dominant factor shaping trader views on closing market cap, following its confidential June 2026 S-1 filing and March private round at $852 billion. CEO Sam Altman has rejected lower targets, prompting advisers to favor a 2027 debut over a potential late-2026 listing that might price below the threshold amid post-SpaceX volatility and broader tech sentiment. With monthly revenue near $2 billion and ongoing heavy losses tied to compute and infrastructure spending, the market-implied odds reflect uncertainty around whether public demand for AI equities will support the premium once the company exits private status. Key upcoming catalysts include any SEC review progress or updated guidance on listing windows.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$1,529,250 Объем
$1,529,250 Объем
30 дек. 2027 г.
$800 млрд
93%
$1 трлн
87%
$1,2 трлн
84%
$1,4 трлн
77%
$1,6 трлн
65%
$1,529,250 Объем
$1,529,250 Объем
30 дек. 2027 г.
$800 млрд
$110,637 Объем
93%
$1 трлн
$1,048,540 Объем
87%
$1,2 трлн
$249,448 Объем
84%
$1,4 трлн
$68,861 Объем
77%
$1,6 трлн
$51,764 Объем
65%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.OpenAI’s pursuit of a $1 trillion IPO valuation remains the dominant factor shaping trader views on closing market cap, following its confidential June 2026 S-1 filing and March private round at $852 billion. CEO Sam Altman has rejected lower targets, prompting advisers to favor a 2027 debut over a potential late-2026 listing that might price below the threshold amid post-SpaceX volatility and broader tech sentiment. With monthly revenue near $2 billion and ongoing heavy losses tied to compute and infrastructure spending, the market-implied odds reflect uncertainty around whether public demand for AI equities will support the premium once the company exits private status. Key upcoming catalysts include any SEC review progress or updated guidance on listing windows.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
Открытие рынка: Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
Объем
$1,529,250Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.OpenAI’s pursuit of a $1 trillion IPO valuation remains the dominant factor shaping trader views on closing market cap, following its confidential June 2026 S-1 filing and March private round at $852 billion. CEO Sam Altman has rejected lower targets, prompting advisers to favor a 2027 debut over a potential late-2026 listing that might price below the threshold amid post-SpaceX volatility and broader tech sentiment. With monthly revenue near $2 billion and ongoing heavy losses tied to compute and infrastructure spending, the market-implied odds reflect uncertainty around whether public demand for AI equities will support the premium once the company exits private status. Key upcoming catalysts include any SEC review progress or updated guidance on listing windows.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
Объем
$1,529,250Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s pursuit of a $1 trillion IPO valuation remains the dominant factor shaping trader views on closing market cap, following its confidential June 2026 S-1 filing and March private round at $852 billion. CEO Sam Altman has rejected lower targets, prompting advisers to favor a 2027 debut over a potential late-2026 listing that might price below the threshold amid post-SpaceX volatility and broader tech sentiment. With monthly revenue near $2 billion and ongoing heavy losses tied to compute and infrastructure spending, the market-implied odds reflect uncertainty around whether public demand for AI equities will support the premium once the company exits private status. Key upcoming catalysts include any SEC review progress or updated guidance on listing windows.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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