Recent hotter-than-expected inflation readings have shifted trader sentiment toward the possibility of a Federal Reserve rate hike later in 2026, with CME FedWatch now pricing roughly a 51% chance by December and about 60% by the January 2027 FOMC meeting. The benchmark federal funds rate has remained steady in the 3.50%–3.75% range following the April decision amid resilient consumer spending and persistent price pressures. Incoming Chair Kevin Warsh faces a policy dilemma as markets weigh whether the central bank will pivot from its recent pause to modest tightening. Key upcoming catalysts include the June FOMC meeting and fresh CPI and employment data that could further influence rate-path expectations and Treasury yields.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$149,348 Объем
9 дек. 2026 г.
Июньское заседание
1%
Июльское заседание
9%
Сентябрьское заседание
15%
Октябрьское заседание
28%
$149,348 Объем
Июньское заседание
$15,287 Объем
1%
Июльское заседание
$1,102 Объем
9%
Сентябрьское заседание
$165 Объем
15%
Октябрьское заседание
$1,485 Объем
28%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent hotter-than-expected inflation readings have shifted trader sentiment toward the possibility of a Federal Reserve rate hike later in 2026, with CME FedWatch now pricing roughly a 51% chance by December and about 60% by the January 2027 FOMC meeting. The benchmark federal funds rate has remained steady in the 3.50%–3.75% range following the April decision amid resilient consumer spending and persistent price pressures. Incoming Chair Kevin Warsh faces a policy dilemma as markets weigh whether the central bank will pivot from its recent pause to modest tightening. Key upcoming catalysts include the June FOMC meeting and fresh CPI and employment data that could further influence rate-path expectations and Treasury yields.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
Объем
$149,348Дата окончания
29 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent hotter-than-expected inflation readings have shifted trader sentiment toward the possibility of a Federal Reserve rate hike later in 2026, with CME FedWatch now pricing roughly a 51% chance by December and about 60% by the January 2027 FOMC meeting. The benchmark federal funds rate has remained steady in the 3.50%–3.75% range following the April decision amid resilient consumer spending and persistent price pressures. Incoming Chair Kevin Warsh faces a policy dilemma as markets weigh whether the central bank will pivot from its recent pause to modest tightening. Key upcoming catalysts include the June FOMC meeting and fresh CPI and employment data that could further influence rate-path expectations and Treasury yields.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$149,348Дата окончания
29 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent hotter-than-expected inflation readings have shifted trader sentiment toward the possibility of a Federal Reserve rate hike later in 2026, with CME FedWatch now pricing roughly a 51% chance by December and about 60% by the January 2027 FOMC meeting. The benchmark federal funds rate has remained steady in the 3.50%–3.75% range following the April decision amid resilient consumer spending and persistent price pressures. Incoming Chair Kevin Warsh faces a policy dilemma as markets weigh whether the central bank will pivot from its recent pause to modest tightening. Key upcoming catalysts include the June FOMC meeting and fresh CPI and employment data that could further influence rate-path expectations and Treasury yields.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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