The federal funds rate currently sits at 3.50–3.75% following the April 2026 FOMC decision, with the effective rate near 3.63% amid sticky inflation (May CPI near 3.8%) and a resilient labor market. Markets price in a hold through year-end 2026, reflecting upward revisions to growth and core PCE forecasts, with the median dot plot projecting only modest further easing to around 3.4% by end-2026 and 3.1% in 2027. Key near-term catalysts include the June 17 FOMC meeting, upcoming inflation releases, and any shifts in Treasury yields or risk sentiment that could alter the path of policy normalization before the 2027 horizon.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЧто ударит по ставке ФРС до 2027 года?
$1,556,665 Объем
↑ 5,5%
4%
↑ 5,25%
3%
↑ 5,0%
4%
↑ 4,75%
5%
↑ 4,5%
9%
↑ 4,25%
17%
↓ 3,25%
26%
↓ 3,0%
8%
↓ 2,75%
5%
↓ 2,5%
4%
↓ 2,25%
5%
↓ 2,0%
5%
↓ 1,75%
5%
↓ 1,5%
5%
↓ 1,25%
5%
↓ 1,0%
4%
↓ 0,75%
4%
↓ 0,5%
5%
↓ 0,25%
5%
↓ 0%
4%
$1,556,665 Объем
↑ 5,5%
4%
↑ 5,25%
3%
↑ 5,0%
4%
↑ 4,75%
5%
↑ 4,5%
9%
↑ 4,25%
17%
↓ 3,25%
26%
↓ 3,0%
8%
↓ 2,75%
5%
↓ 2,5%
4%
↓ 2,25%
5%
↓ 2,0%
5%
↓ 1,75%
5%
↓ 1,5%
5%
↓ 1,25%
5%
↓ 1,0%
4%
↓ 0,75%
4%
↓ 0,5%
5%
↓ 0,25%
5%
↓ 0%
4%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
Открытие рынка: Nov 18, 2025, 3:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The federal funds rate currently sits at 3.50–3.75% following the April 2026 FOMC decision, with the effective rate near 3.63% amid sticky inflation (May CPI near 3.8%) and a resilient labor market. Markets price in a hold through year-end 2026, reflecting upward revisions to growth and core PCE forecasts, with the median dot plot projecting only modest further easing to around 3.4% by end-2026 and 3.1% in 2027. Key near-term catalysts include the June 17 FOMC meeting, upcoming inflation releases, and any shifts in Treasury yields or risk sentiment that could alter the path of policy normalization before the 2027 horizon.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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