Jerome Powell faces no criminal charges, investigations, or credible allegations that could plausibly result in incarceration, underpinning the 97.3% market-implied probability of “No.” As Fed Chair through mid-2026, his role centers on monetary policy, with recent FOMC communications focused on inflation trajectories and labor-market data rather than personal legal matters. Trader consensus reflects the absence of regulatory scrutiny or indictments, consistent with historical precedent for senior central bankers. While tail-risk scenarios such as unforeseen political developments or fabricated charges remain theoretically possible in a polarized environment, no verifiable filings, congressional actions, or enforcement signals support them, leaving the overwhelming probability anchored in current facts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jerome Powell serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Jerome Powell faces no criminal charges, investigations, or credible allegations that could plausibly result in incarceration, underpinning the 97.3% market-implied probability of “No.” As Fed Chair through mid-2026, his role centers on monetary policy, with recent FOMC communications focused on inflation trajectories and labor-market data rather than personal legal matters. Trader consensus reflects the absence of regulatory scrutiny or indictments, consistent with historical precedent for senior central bankers. While tail-risk scenarios such as unforeseen political developments or fabricated charges remain theoretically possible in a polarized environment, no verifiable filings, congressional actions, or enforcement signals support them, leaving the overwhelming probability anchored in current facts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jerome Powell serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jan 12, 2026, 11:43 AM ET
Объем
$4,065Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 12, 2026, 11:43 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jerome Powell serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Jerome Powell faces no criminal charges, investigations, or credible allegations that could plausibly result in incarceration, underpinning the 97.3% market-implied probability of “No.” As Fed Chair through mid-2026, his role centers on monetary policy, with recent FOMC communications focused on inflation trajectories and labor-market data rather than personal legal matters. Trader consensus reflects the absence of regulatory scrutiny or indictments, consistent with historical precedent for senior central bankers. While tail-risk scenarios such as unforeseen political developments or fabricated charges remain theoretically possible in a polarized environment, no verifiable filings, congressional actions, or enforcement signals support them, leaving the overwhelming probability anchored in current facts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jerome Powell serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$4,065Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 12, 2026, 11:43 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Jerome Powell faces no criminal charges, investigations, or credible allegations that could plausibly result in incarceration, underpinning the 97.3% market-implied probability of “No.” As Fed Chair through mid-2026, his role centers on monetary policy, with recent FOMC communications focused on inflation trajectories and labor-market data rather than personal legal matters. Trader consensus reflects the absence of regulatory scrutiny or indictments, consistent with historical precedent for senior central bankers. While tail-risk scenarios such as unforeseen political developments or fabricated charges remain theoretically possible in a polarized environment, no verifiable filings, congressional actions, or enforcement signals support them, leaving the overwhelming probability anchored in current facts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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