Elevated inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, combined with recent 9-3 votes featuring three hawkish dissents from regional presidents favoring tighter policy, drives the closely matched implied probabilities for October FOMC dissents. With the federal funds rate steady at 3.50–3.75% and energy-driven price pressures persisting, trader consensus reflects uncertainty over whether the September 16 meeting and incoming data will unify or further fragment the committee ahead of the October 28 decision. Key swing factors include labor market stability, fresh PCE and employment releases, and speeches from officials like Hammack, Kashkari, and Logan versus potential dovish voices such as Miran, as the 2026 voter rotation tilts slightly more hawkish overall.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСколько инакомыслящих на октябрьском заседании ФРС?
Сколько инакомыслящих на октябрьском заседании ФРС?
3 25%
2 22%
1 20%
4+ 17%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
28 окт. 2026 г.
0
15%
1
20%
2
22%
3
25%
4+
17%
3 25%
2 22%
1 20%
4+ 17%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
28 окт. 2026 г.
0
$320 Объем
15%
1
$345 Объем
20%
2
$320 Объем
22%
3
$340 Объем
25%
4+
$690 Объем
17%
The October Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on October 28, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Elevated inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, combined with recent 9-3 votes featuring three hawkish dissents from regional presidents favoring tighter policy, drives the closely matched implied probabilities for October FOMC dissents. With the federal funds rate steady at 3.50–3.75% and energy-driven price pressures persisting, trader consensus reflects uncertainty over whether the September 16 meeting and incoming data will unify or further fragment the committee ahead of the October 28 decision. Key swing factors include labor market stability, fresh PCE and employment releases, and speeches from officials like Hammack, Kashkari, and Logan versus potential dovish voices such as Miran, as the 2026 voter rotation tilts slightly more hawkish overall.
The October Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on October 28, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Открытие рынка: Sep 8, 2026, 4:31 PM ET
Объем
$2,015Дата окончания
28 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 8, 2026, 4:31 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The October Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on October 28, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Elevated inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, combined with recent 9-3 votes featuring three hawkish dissents from regional presidents favoring tighter policy, drives the closely matched implied probabilities for October FOMC dissents. With the federal funds rate steady at 3.50–3.75% and energy-driven price pressures persisting, trader consensus reflects uncertainty over whether the September 16 meeting and incoming data will unify or further fragment the committee ahead of the October 28 decision. Key swing factors include labor market stability, fresh PCE and employment releases, and speeches from officials like Hammack, Kashkari, and Logan versus potential dovish voices such as Miran, as the 2026 voter rotation tilts slightly more hawkish overall.
The October Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on October 28, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Объем
$2,015Дата окончания
28 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 8, 2026, 4:31 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Elevated inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, combined with recent 9-3 votes featuring three hawkish dissents from regional presidents favoring tighter policy, drives the closely matched implied probabilities for October FOMC dissents. With the federal funds rate steady at 3.50–3.75% and energy-driven price pressures persisting, trader consensus reflects uncertainty over whether the September 16 meeting and incoming data will unify or further fragment the committee ahead of the October 28 decision. Key swing factors include labor market stability, fresh PCE and employment releases, and speeches from officials like Hammack, Kashkari, and Logan versus potential dovish voices such as Miran, as the 2026 voter rotation tilts slightly more hawkish overall.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы