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icon for Сколько инакомыслящих на сентябрьском заседании ФРС?

Сколько инакомыслящих на сентябрьском заседании ФРС?

icon for Сколько инакомыслящих на сентябрьском заседании ФРС?

Сколько инакомыслящих на сентябрьском заседании ФРС?

3 31%

4+ 20%

2 19%

1 19%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

3 31%

4+ 20%

2 19%

1 19%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

0

$74 Объем

15%

1

$153 Объем

19%

2

$80 Объем

19%

3

$200 Объем

31%

4+

$29 Объем

20%

The September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for September 15-16, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on September 16, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent economic data releases have left FOMC participants divided on the appropriate pace of policy easing ahead of the September meeting, producing the evenly distributed market-implied probabilities across dissent counts. Persistent core inflation readings above target combined with a softening labor market have prompted some officials to favor larger or faster rate reductions, while others cite risks of reacceleration in prices and advocate holding the current stance or moving more gradually. This split in views on the balance of risks, relative to the Fed funds rate path priced in Treasury yields and futures, explains why three or more dissents carry the highest implied odds while zero remains possible if incoming data align views. The next employment report and inflation prints will likely determine whether consensus solidifies or further fragmentation occurs before the vote.

The September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for September 15-16, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on September 16, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Объем
$537
Дата окончания
16 сент. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 27, 2026, 7:01 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...
The September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for September 15-16, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on September 16, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for September 15-16, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on September 16, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent economic data releases have left FOMC participants divided on the appropriate pace of policy easing ahead of the September meeting, producing the evenly distributed market-implied probabilities across dissent counts. Persistent core inflation readings above target combined with a softening labor market have prompted some officials to favor larger or faster rate reductions, while others cite risks of reacceleration in prices and advocate holding the current stance or moving more gradually. This split in views on the balance of risks, relative to the Fed funds rate path priced in Treasury yields and futures, explains why three or more dissents carry the highest implied odds while zero remains possible if incoming data align views. The next employment report and inflation prints will likely determine whether consensus solidifies or further fragmentation occurs before the vote.

The September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for September 15-16, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on September 16, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Объем
$537
Дата окончания
16 сент. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 27, 2026, 7:01 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...
The September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for September 15-16, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on September 16, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Сколько инакомыслящих на сентябрьском заседании ФРС?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 5 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «3» с 31%, за ним следует «4+» с 20%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 31¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 31%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Сколько инакомыслящих на сентябрьском заседании ФРС?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Aug 27, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Сколько инакомыслящих на сентябрьском заседании ФРС?», просмотри 5 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Сколько инакомыслящих на сентябрьском заседании ФРС?» — «3» с 31%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 31%. Следующий ближайший исход — «4+» с 20%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Сколько инакомыслящих на сентябрьском заседании ФРС?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.