Federal Reserve Governor Jerome Powell's term on the Board extends through January 2028 following the end of his chairmanship in May 2026, when Kevin Warsh assumed the role. Legal protections limit removal to "for cause," with any attempt by the administration facing court challenges, while Powell has signaled intent to remain until an inspector general review of headquarters construction concludes with transparency. Trader sentiment reflects these structural barriers alongside political dynamics, as markets price modest probabilities for an exit by year-end amid ongoing uncertainty over the investigation timeline and potential congressional or judicial developments.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$434,341 Объем
31 декабря
21%
$434,341 Объем
31 декабря
21%
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Открытие рынка: Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Federal Reserve Governor Jerome Powell's term on the Board extends through January 2028 following the end of his chairmanship in May 2026, when Kevin Warsh assumed the role. Legal protections limit removal to "for cause," with any attempt by the administration facing court challenges, while Powell has signaled intent to remain until an inspector general review of headquarters construction concludes with transparency. Trader sentiment reflects these structural barriers alongside political dynamics, as markets price modest probabilities for an exit by year-end amid ongoing uncertainty over the investigation timeline and potential congressional or judicial developments.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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