**Anthropic released Claude Sonnet 5 on June 30, 2026, as its most agentic midsize model yet, with strong gains in tool use, autonomous browser/terminal operation, coding benchmarks like SWE-bench Pro (63.2%), and knowledge work—closing much of the gap to Opus 4.8 at lower cost.** This followed Sonnet 4.6 in February 2026, maintaining a roughly four-month cadence between major Sonnet updates. Since then, the company has shipped Opus 5 in July and Fable 5.1/Mythos 5.1 variants in early September, shifting focus to other lines while competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google continues to accelerate model iteration cycles. Traders price the next Sonnet release with a market-implied median near mid-October, reflecting historical patterns, the absence of fixed schedules, and the likelihood of a fall update to refresh agentic capabilities and pricing tiers before year-end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСледующий Клод Соннет, выпущенный...?
Следующий Клод Соннет, выпущенный...?
$18,262 Объем
30 сент. 2026 г.
30 сентября
22%
31 октября
68%
31 декабря
97%
$18,262 Объем
30 сентября
$975 Объем
22%
31 октября
$9,792 Объем
68%
31 декабря
$3,757 Объем
97%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.**Anthropic released Claude Sonnet 5 on June 30, 2026, as its most agentic midsize model yet, with strong gains in tool use, autonomous browser/terminal operation, coding benchmarks like SWE-bench Pro (63.2%), and knowledge work—closing much of the gap to Opus 4.8 at lower cost.** This followed Sonnet 4.6 in February 2026, maintaining a roughly four-month cadence between major Sonnet updates. Since then, the company has shipped Opus 5 in July and Fable 5.1/Mythos 5.1 variants in early September, shifting focus to other lines while competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google continues to accelerate model iteration cycles. Traders price the next Sonnet release with a market-implied median near mid-October, reflecting historical patterns, the absence of fixed schedules, and the likelihood of a fall update to refresh agentic capabilities and pricing tiers before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Sep 3, 2026, 9:06 AM ET
Объем
$18,262Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 3, 2026, 9:06 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.**Anthropic released Claude Sonnet 5 on June 30, 2026, as its most agentic midsize model yet, with strong gains in tool use, autonomous browser/terminal operation, coding benchmarks like SWE-bench Pro (63.2%), and knowledge work—closing much of the gap to Opus 4.8 at lower cost.** This followed Sonnet 4.6 in February 2026, maintaining a roughly four-month cadence between major Sonnet updates. Since then, the company has shipped Opus 5 in July and Fable 5.1/Mythos 5.1 variants in early September, shifting focus to other lines while competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google continues to accelerate model iteration cycles. Traders price the next Sonnet release with a market-implied median near mid-October, reflecting historical patterns, the absence of fixed schedules, and the likelihood of a fall update to refresh agentic capabilities and pricing tiers before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$18,262Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 3, 2026, 9:06 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...**Anthropic released Claude Sonnet 5 on June 30, 2026, as its most agentic midsize model yet, with strong gains in tool use, autonomous browser/terminal operation, coding benchmarks like SWE-bench Pro (63.2%), and knowledge work—closing much of the gap to Opus 4.8 at lower cost.** This followed Sonnet 4.6 in February 2026, maintaining a roughly four-month cadence between major Sonnet updates. Since then, the company has shipped Opus 5 in July and Fable 5.1/Mythos 5.1 variants in early September, shifting focus to other lines while competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google continues to accelerate model iteration cycles. Traders price the next Sonnet release with a market-implied median near mid-October, reflecting historical patterns, the absence of fixed schedules, and the likelihood of a fall update to refresh agentic capabilities and pricing tiers before year-end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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