Anthropic’s June 30, 2026 launch of Claude Sonnet 5, positioned as the most agentic mid-tier model to date with strong gains in tool use, coding, and autonomous workflows approaching Opus 4.8 performance at lower cost, has set the baseline for the next iteration. The roughly four-month gap since Sonnet 4.6 aligns with Anthropic’s accelerated cadence across the 5-series family, while the September 1 release of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 signals continued momentum in specialized reasoning and agentic capabilities. Traders price the subsequent Sonnet release around mid-October, reflecting expectations of rapid iteration to maintain competitiveness against OpenAI and Google models in agentic benchmarks and enterprise adoption. No firm timeline has been announced, leaving room for slippage typical in frontier AI development.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСледующий Клод Соннет, выпущенный...?
Следующий Клод Соннет, выпущенный...?
$19,245 Объем
30 сент. 2026 г.
30 сентября
22%
31 октября
81%
31 декабря
86%
$19,245 Объем
30 сентября
$975 Объем
22%
31 октября
$10,754 Объем
81%
31 декабря
$3,777 Объем
86%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s June 30, 2026 launch of Claude Sonnet 5, positioned as the most agentic mid-tier model to date with strong gains in tool use, coding, and autonomous workflows approaching Opus 4.8 performance at lower cost, has set the baseline for the next iteration. The roughly four-month gap since Sonnet 4.6 aligns with Anthropic’s accelerated cadence across the 5-series family, while the September 1 release of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 signals continued momentum in specialized reasoning and agentic capabilities. Traders price the subsequent Sonnet release around mid-October, reflecting expectations of rapid iteration to maintain competitiveness against OpenAI and Google models in agentic benchmarks and enterprise adoption. No firm timeline has been announced, leaving room for slippage typical in frontier AI development.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Sep 3, 2026, 9:06 AM ET
Объем
$19,245Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 3, 2026, 9:06 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s June 30, 2026 launch of Claude Sonnet 5, positioned as the most agentic mid-tier model to date with strong gains in tool use, coding, and autonomous workflows approaching Opus 4.8 performance at lower cost, has set the baseline for the next iteration. The roughly four-month gap since Sonnet 4.6 aligns with Anthropic’s accelerated cadence across the 5-series family, while the September 1 release of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 signals continued momentum in specialized reasoning and agentic capabilities. Traders price the subsequent Sonnet release around mid-October, reflecting expectations of rapid iteration to maintain competitiveness against OpenAI and Google models in agentic benchmarks and enterprise adoption. No firm timeline has been announced, leaving room for slippage typical in frontier AI development.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$19,245Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 3, 2026, 9:06 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s June 30, 2026 launch of Claude Sonnet 5, positioned as the most agentic mid-tier model to date with strong gains in tool use, coding, and autonomous workflows approaching Opus 4.8 performance at lower cost, has set the baseline for the next iteration. The roughly four-month gap since Sonnet 4.6 aligns with Anthropic’s accelerated cadence across the 5-series family, while the September 1 release of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 signals continued momentum in specialized reasoning and agentic capabilities. Traders price the subsequent Sonnet release around mid-October, reflecting expectations of rapid iteration to maintain competitiveness against OpenAI and Google models in agentic benchmarks and enterprise adoption. No firm timeline has been announced, leaving room for slippage typical in frontier AI development.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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