Anthropic’s staggered release cadence keeps the Haiku tier trailing flagship updates, with Claude Haiku 4.5 still the current offering nearly eleven months after its October 2025 launch while Sonnet 5, Opus 5, and Fable 5.1 arrived in mid-2026. Trader sentiment reflects this pattern plus Anthropic’s emphasis on cost-efficient, low-latency inference for high-volume and agentic workloads, where Haiku competes directly with lighter models from OpenAI and Google. No official Haiku successor has been confirmed, yet prediction-market deadlines cluster around late October 2026, implying traders expect an announcement or release window tied to the next efficiency or benchmark push. Key near-term catalysts include any developer-conference remarks, API pricing changes, or competitive small-model launches that could accelerate or delay the timeline.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСледующий Клод Хайку, выпущенный...?
Следующий Клод Хайку, выпущенный...?
НОВОЕ
15 окт. 2026 г.
15 октября
27%
31 октября
61%
31 декабря
54%
$9,539 Объем
15 октября
$241 Объем
27%
31 октября
$987 Объем
61%
31 декабря
$4,559 Объем
54%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s staggered release cadence keeps the Haiku tier trailing flagship updates, with Claude Haiku 4.5 still the current offering nearly eleven months after its October 2025 launch while Sonnet 5, Opus 5, and Fable 5.1 arrived in mid-2026. Trader sentiment reflects this pattern plus Anthropic’s emphasis on cost-efficient, low-latency inference for high-volume and agentic workloads, where Haiku competes directly with lighter models from OpenAI and Google. No official Haiku successor has been confirmed, yet prediction-market deadlines cluster around late October 2026, implying traders expect an announcement or release window tied to the next efficiency or benchmark push. Key near-term catalysts include any developer-conference remarks, API pricing changes, or competitive small-model launches that could accelerate or delay the timeline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Sep 3, 2026, 9:07 AM ET
Объем
$9,539Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 3, 2026, 9:07 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s staggered release cadence keeps the Haiku tier trailing flagship updates, with Claude Haiku 4.5 still the current offering nearly eleven months after its October 2025 launch while Sonnet 5, Opus 5, and Fable 5.1 arrived in mid-2026. Trader sentiment reflects this pattern plus Anthropic’s emphasis on cost-efficient, low-latency inference for high-volume and agentic workloads, where Haiku competes directly with lighter models from OpenAI and Google. No official Haiku successor has been confirmed, yet prediction-market deadlines cluster around late October 2026, implying traders expect an announcement or release window tied to the next efficiency or benchmark push. Key near-term catalysts include any developer-conference remarks, API pricing changes, or competitive small-model launches that could accelerate or delay the timeline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$9,539Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 3, 2026, 9:07 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s staggered release cadence keeps the Haiku tier trailing flagship updates, with Claude Haiku 4.5 still the current offering nearly eleven months after its October 2025 launch while Sonnet 5, Opus 5, and Fable 5.1 arrived in mid-2026. Trader sentiment reflects this pattern plus Anthropic’s emphasis on cost-efficient, low-latency inference for high-volume and agentic workloads, where Haiku competes directly with lighter models from OpenAI and Google. No official Haiku successor has been confirmed, yet prediction-market deadlines cluster around late October 2026, implying traders expect an announcement or release window tied to the next efficiency or benchmark push. Key near-term catalysts include any developer-conference remarks, API pricing changes, or competitive small-model launches that could accelerate or delay the timeline.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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