OpenAI's confidential IPO filing in June 2026, targeting a potential $1 trillion valuation and possible Q4 debut, anchors trader sentiment on raise size amid its $852 billion March 2026 post-money valuation after a record $122 billion private round. Market-implied odds favor smaller proceeds below $30 billion at 36.8% or a blockbuster $100 billion-plus outcome at 26%, reflecting uncertainty over dilution, secondary sales, and equity market receptivity for AI issuers. Recent $7 billion employee tender offers at the unchanged $852 billion level and $2 billion monthly revenue run rate underscore capital intensity without profitability, while comparable megacap tech listings set precedents for variable IPO sizing. Upcoming regulatory clarity and macroeconomic conditions on interest rates and risk appetite remain key swing factors for the implied probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHow much will OpenAI raise in its IPO?
How much will OpenAI raise in its IPO?
<$30B 36.7%
$40B–$50B 20.6%
$80B–$90B 18.9%
$100B+ 17%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 дек. 2027 г.
<$30B
37%
$30B–$40B
4%
$40B–$50B
23%
$50B–$60B
6%
$60B–$70B
8%
$70B–$80B
6%
$80B–$90B
19%
$90B–$100B
5%
$100B+
29%
<$30B 36.7%
$40B–$50B 20.6%
$80B–$90B 18.9%
$100B+ 17%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 дек. 2027 г.
<$30B
$476 Объем
37%
$30B–$40B
$463 Объем
4%
$40B–$50B
$1,621 Объем
23%
$50B–$60B
$825 Объем
6%
$60B–$70B
$496 Объем
8%
$70B–$80B
$489 Объем
6%
$80B–$90B
$448 Объем
19%
$90B–$100B
$306 Объем
5%
$100B+
$637 Объем
29%
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by OpenAI in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's confidential IPO filing in June 2026, targeting a potential $1 trillion valuation and possible Q4 debut, anchors trader sentiment on raise size amid its $852 billion March 2026 post-money valuation after a record $122 billion private round. Market-implied odds favor smaller proceeds below $30 billion at 36.8% or a blockbuster $100 billion-plus outcome at 26%, reflecting uncertainty over dilution, secondary sales, and equity market receptivity for AI issuers. Recent $7 billion employee tender offers at the unchanged $852 billion level and $2 billion monthly revenue run rate underscore capital intensity without profitability, while comparable megacap tech listings set precedents for variable IPO sizing. Upcoming regulatory clarity and macroeconomic conditions on interest rates and risk appetite remain key swing factors for the implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by OpenAI in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: May 21, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
Объем
$5,761Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
May 21, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by OpenAI in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's confidential IPO filing in June 2026, targeting a potential $1 trillion valuation and possible Q4 debut, anchors trader sentiment on raise size amid its $852 billion March 2026 post-money valuation after a record $122 billion private round. Market-implied odds favor smaller proceeds below $30 billion at 36.8% or a blockbuster $100 billion-plus outcome at 26%, reflecting uncertainty over dilution, secondary sales, and equity market receptivity for AI issuers. Recent $7 billion employee tender offers at the unchanged $852 billion level and $2 billion monthly revenue run rate underscore capital intensity without profitability, while comparable megacap tech listings set precedents for variable IPO sizing. Upcoming regulatory clarity and macroeconomic conditions on interest rates and risk appetite remain key swing factors for the implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by OpenAI in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$5,761Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
May 21, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI's confidential IPO filing in June 2026, targeting a potential $1 trillion valuation and possible Q4 debut, anchors trader sentiment on raise size amid its $852 billion March 2026 post-money valuation after a record $122 billion private round. Market-implied odds favor smaller proceeds below $30 billion at 36.8% or a blockbuster $100 billion-plus outcome at 26%, reflecting uncertainty over dilution, secondary sales, and equity market receptivity for AI issuers. Recent $7 billion employee tender offers at the unchanged $852 billion level and $2 billion monthly revenue run rate underscore capital intensity without profitability, while comparable megacap tech listings set precedents for variable IPO sizing. Upcoming regulatory clarity and macroeconomic conditions on interest rates and risk appetite remain key swing factors for the implied probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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