Incumbent James Comer secured the Republican nomination with 88 percent in the May primary and enters the November general election as the heavy favorite in Kentucky’s 1st district, a seat rated solid or safe Republican by every major forecaster and carrying an R+23 partisan lean. Comer’s prior general-election performance of 75 percent in 2024, combined with his substantial fundraising advantage and the district’s consistent Republican voting patterns across western and central Kentucky counties, has produced the current trader consensus. Democratic nominee Drew Williams advanced unopposed after his primary was canceled and trails significantly in both cash on hand and name recognition. While the race remains formally open until November 3, only an unforeseen late development such as a major scandal or health event would realistically alter the outcome in this heavily Republican constituency.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоKY-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
KY-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$50,344 Объем
$50,344 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Джеймс Комер (Р)
96%
Дрю Уильямс (Д)
3%
$50,344 Объем
$50,344 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Джеймс Комер (Р)
$33,582 Объем
96%
Дрю Уильямс (Д)
$16,761 Объем
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent James Comer secured the Republican nomination with 88 percent in the May primary and enters the November general election as the heavy favorite in Kentucky’s 1st district, a seat rated solid or safe Republican by every major forecaster and carrying an R+23 partisan lean. Comer’s prior general-election performance of 75 percent in 2024, combined with his substantial fundraising advantage and the district’s consistent Republican voting patterns across western and central Kentucky counties, has produced the current trader consensus. Democratic nominee Drew Williams advanced unopposed after his primary was canceled and trails significantly in both cash on hand and name recognition. While the race remains formally open until November 3, only an unforeseen late development such as a major scandal or health event would realistically alter the outcome in this heavily Republican constituency.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$50,344Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent James Comer secured the Republican nomination with 88 percent in the May primary and enters the November general election as the heavy favorite in Kentucky’s 1st district, a seat rated solid or safe Republican by every major forecaster and carrying an R+23 partisan lean. Comer’s prior general-election performance of 75 percent in 2024, combined with his substantial fundraising advantage and the district’s consistent Republican voting patterns across western and central Kentucky counties, has produced the current trader consensus. Democratic nominee Drew Williams advanced unopposed after his primary was canceled and trails significantly in both cash on hand and name recognition. While the race remains formally open until November 3, only an unforeseen late development such as a major scandal or health event would realistically alter the outcome in this heavily Republican constituency.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$50,344Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent James Comer secured the Republican nomination with 88 percent in the May primary and enters the November general election as the heavy favorite in Kentucky’s 1st district, a seat rated solid or safe Republican by every major forecaster and carrying an R+23 partisan lean. Comer’s prior general-election performance of 75 percent in 2024, combined with his substantial fundraising advantage and the district’s consistent Republican voting patterns across western and central Kentucky counties, has produced the current trader consensus. Democratic nominee Drew Williams advanced unopposed after his primary was canceled and trails significantly in both cash on hand and name recognition. While the race remains formally open until November 3, only an unforeseen late development such as a major scandal or health event would realistically alter the outcome in this heavily Republican constituency.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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