Kentucky's 6th congressional district remains a Republican-leaning seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around R+7, where Donald Trump previously carried the area by double digits. Incumbent Andy Barr's decision to run for Senate created an open race, but primary results on May 19 produced Republican nominee Ralph Alvarado and Democratic nominee Zach Dembo as the general election contenders for November 3. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting the district's voting patterns and limited Democratic path even in a midterm environment. Recent polling before the primaries showed narrow margins in head-to-head matchups, yet the structural advantages and post-primary consolidation have sustained trader consensus around the Republican outcome at 57.5 percent. No major new developments have shifted the balance in the past month.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей KY-06
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей KY-06
$26,519 Объем
$26,519 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
57%
Демократическая партия
40%
$26,519 Объем
$26,519 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$10,297 Объем
57%
Демократическая партия
$16,221 Объем
40%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kentucky's 6th congressional district remains a Republican-leaning seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around R+7, where Donald Trump previously carried the area by double digits. Incumbent Andy Barr's decision to run for Senate created an open race, but primary results on May 19 produced Republican nominee Ralph Alvarado and Democratic nominee Zach Dembo as the general election contenders for November 3. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting the district's voting patterns and limited Democratic path even in a midterm environment. Recent polling before the primaries showed narrow margins in head-to-head matchups, yet the structural advantages and post-primary consolidation have sustained trader consensus around the Republican outcome at 57.5 percent. No major new developments have shifted the balance in the past month.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$26,519Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kentucky's 6th congressional district remains a Republican-leaning seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around R+7, where Donald Trump previously carried the area by double digits. Incumbent Andy Barr's decision to run for Senate created an open race, but primary results on May 19 produced Republican nominee Ralph Alvarado and Democratic nominee Zach Dembo as the general election contenders for November 3. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting the district's voting patterns and limited Democratic path even in a midterm environment. Recent polling before the primaries showed narrow margins in head-to-head matchups, yet the structural advantages and post-primary consolidation have sustained trader consensus around the Republican outcome at 57.5 percent. No major new developments have shifted the balance in the past month.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$26,519Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kentucky's 6th congressional district remains a Republican-leaning seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around R+7, where Donald Trump previously carried the area by double digits. Incumbent Andy Barr's decision to run for Senate created an open race, but primary results on May 19 produced Republican nominee Ralph Alvarado and Democratic nominee Zach Dembo as the general election contenders for November 3. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting the district's voting patterns and limited Democratic path even in a midterm environment. Recent polling before the primaries showed narrow margins in head-to-head matchups, yet the structural advantages and post-primary consolidation have sustained trader consensus around the Republican outcome at 57.5 percent. No major new developments have shifted the balance in the past month.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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