Incumbent Hal Rogers secured the Republican nomination for Kentucky’s 5th district in the May 19 primary with 77 percent of the vote against limited opposition, advancing to face unopposed Democrat Ned Pillersdorf in the November general election. The eastern Kentucky district’s consistent Republican tilt, combined with Rogers’ long incumbency since 1981 and repeated strong reelection margins, drives trader consensus reflected in the 93.5 percent Republican probability. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, with minimal Democratic infrastructure and little competitive polling. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major national partisan swing, an unexpected health or scandal development involving the 88-year-old incumbent, or unusually elevated Democratic turnout in this low-profile contest.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоKY-05 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
KY-05 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$19,923 Объем
$19,923 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
94%
Демократическая партия
6%
$19,923 Объем
$19,923 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$16,575 Объем
94%
Демократическая партия
$3,347 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Hal Rogers secured the Republican nomination for Kentucky’s 5th district in the May 19 primary with 77 percent of the vote against limited opposition, advancing to face unopposed Democrat Ned Pillersdorf in the November general election. The eastern Kentucky district’s consistent Republican tilt, combined with Rogers’ long incumbency since 1981 and repeated strong reelection margins, drives trader consensus reflected in the 93.5 percent Republican probability. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, with minimal Democratic infrastructure and little competitive polling. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major national partisan swing, an unexpected health or scandal development involving the 88-year-old incumbent, or unusually elevated Democratic turnout in this low-profile contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$19,923Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Hal Rogers secured the Republican nomination for Kentucky’s 5th district in the May 19 primary with 77 percent of the vote against limited opposition, advancing to face unopposed Democrat Ned Pillersdorf in the November general election. The eastern Kentucky district’s consistent Republican tilt, combined with Rogers’ long incumbency since 1981 and repeated strong reelection margins, drives trader consensus reflected in the 93.5 percent Republican probability. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, with minimal Democratic infrastructure and little competitive polling. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major national partisan swing, an unexpected health or scandal development involving the 88-year-old incumbent, or unusually elevated Democratic turnout in this low-profile contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$19,923Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Hal Rogers secured the Republican nomination for Kentucky’s 5th district in the May 19 primary with 77 percent of the vote against limited opposition, advancing to face unopposed Democrat Ned Pillersdorf in the November general election. The eastern Kentucky district’s consistent Republican tilt, combined with Rogers’ long incumbency since 1981 and repeated strong reelection margins, drives trader consensus reflected in the 93.5 percent Republican probability. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, with minimal Democratic infrastructure and little competitive polling. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major national partisan swing, an unexpected health or scandal development involving the 88-year-old incumbent, or unusually elevated Democratic turnout in this low-profile contest.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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