Incumbent Republican Phil Scott seeks a sixth term in the November 3, 2026, Vermont gubernatorial election against Democratic nominee Amanda Janoo, who narrowly won her party's August 11 primary. Scott secured his nomination with minimal opposition and maintains a consistent polling lead, including a July University of New Hampshire survey showing him ahead 44% to 33% amid high undecided shares. Although Scott's job approval has fallen to a four-year low, his incumbency, cross-party appeal in a state that has repeatedly backed moderate Republican governors, and the early stage of the general election campaign underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome. No major late-August developments have shifted the race's fundamentals ahead of the general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов губернатора Вермонта
Победитель выборов губернатора Вермонта
$59,407 Объем
$59,407 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканец
88%
Демократ
11%
$59,407 Объем
$59,407 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканец
$25,795 Объем
88%
Демократ
$33,612 Объем
11%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Phil Scott seeks a sixth term in the November 3, 2026, Vermont gubernatorial election against Democratic nominee Amanda Janoo, who narrowly won her party's August 11 primary. Scott secured his nomination with minimal opposition and maintains a consistent polling lead, including a July University of New Hampshire survey showing him ahead 44% to 33% amid high undecided shares. Although Scott's job approval has fallen to a four-year low, his incumbency, cross-party appeal in a state that has repeatedly backed moderate Republican governors, and the early stage of the general election campaign underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome. No major late-August developments have shifted the race's fundamentals ahead of the general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Объем
$59,407Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Phil Scott seeks a sixth term in the November 3, 2026, Vermont gubernatorial election against Democratic nominee Amanda Janoo, who narrowly won her party's August 11 primary. Scott secured his nomination with minimal opposition and maintains a consistent polling lead, including a July University of New Hampshire survey showing him ahead 44% to 33% amid high undecided shares. Although Scott's job approval has fallen to a four-year low, his incumbency, cross-party appeal in a state that has repeatedly backed moderate Republican governors, and the early stage of the general election campaign underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome. No major late-August developments have shifted the race's fundamentals ahead of the general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$59,407Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Phil Scott seeks a sixth term in the November 3, 2026, Vermont gubernatorial election against Democratic nominee Amanda Janoo, who narrowly won her party's August 11 primary. Scott secured his nomination with minimal opposition and maintains a consistent polling lead, including a July University of New Hampshire survey showing him ahead 44% to 33% amid high undecided shares. Although Scott's job approval has fallen to a four-year low, his incumbency, cross-party appeal in a state that has repeatedly backed moderate Republican governors, and the early stage of the general election campaign underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome. No major late-August developments have shifted the race's fundamentals ahead of the general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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