The closely matched probabilities across turnout ranges for the Massachusetts Senate election reflect uncertainty over voter participation in a contest rated safe Democratic. Incumbent Ed Markey faces primary challenger Seth Moulton on September 1, 2026, which could drive higher engagement among Democratic voters and set the tone for November 3 general election mobilization. Republican nominee John Deaton's campaign and any national midterm dynamics may influence overall participation, while structural factors such as Massachusetts' historically high turnout rates, early voting access, and ballot initiatives add variables. Traders appear to weigh these elements without a dominant signal yet emerging from recent polling or campaign activity.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено3,1 млн+ 44%
<2,2 млн 44%
2,2М–2,35М 44%
2,5М–2,65М 43%
<2,2 млн
44%
2,2М–2,35М
44%
2,35М–2,5М
43%
2,5М–2,65М
43%
2,65M-2,8M
42%
2,8М-2,95М
43%
2,95M-3,1M
42%
3,1 млн+
44%
3,1 млн+ 44%
<2,2 млн 44%
2,2М–2,35М 44%
2,5М–2,65М 43%
<2,2 млн
44%
2,2М–2,35М
44%
2,35М–2,5М
43%
2,5М–2,65М
43%
2,65M-2,8M
42%
2,8М-2,95М
43%
2,95M-3,1M
42%
3,1 млн+
44%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Aug 18, 2026, 10:33 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched probabilities across turnout ranges for the Massachusetts Senate election reflect uncertainty over voter participation in a contest rated safe Democratic. Incumbent Ed Markey faces primary challenger Seth Moulton on September 1, 2026, which could drive higher engagement among Democratic voters and set the tone for November 3 general election mobilization. Republican nominee John Deaton's campaign and any national midterm dynamics may influence overall participation, while structural factors such as Massachusetts' historically high turnout rates, early voting access, and ballot initiatives add variables. Traders appear to weigh these elements without a dominant signal yet emerging from recent polling or campaign activity.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Будет ли общее количество голосов, поданных на выборах сенатора от Нью-Гэмпшира в промежуточных выборах 2026 года, находиться в диапазоне от 700 000 до 750 000?
Будет ли общее количество голосов, поданных на промежуточных выборах 2026 года за сенатора от штата Мэн, находиться в диапазоне от 700 000 до 750 000?
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois be between 4,250,000 and 4,500,000?
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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