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icon for Выборы в Сенат штата Мэн: явка (первый тур)

Выборы в Сенат штата Мэн: явка (первый тур)

icon for Выборы в Сенат штата Мэн: явка (первый тур)

Выборы в Сенат штата Мэн: явка (первый тур)

<600 тыс. 45%

600К–650К 45%

650К-700К 45%

700К-750К 45%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

<600 тыс. 45%

600К–650К 45%

650К-700К 45%

700К-750К 45%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

<600 тыс.

$0 Объем

45%

600К–650К

$0 Объем

45%

650К-700К

$0 Объем

45%

700К-750К

$0 Объем

45%

750К–800К

$0 Объем

45%

800 000–850 000

$0 Объем

45%

850К-900К

$0 Объем

45%

900 000+

$0 Объем

45%

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Maine. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Maine, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Maine's 2026 U.S. Senate race features a closely matched contest between incumbent Republican Susan Collins and Democratic nominee Troy Jackson, with recent polls showing Jackson ahead or tied within the margin of error. This balance sustains uncertainty over total ballots cast in the November 3 general election, as competitive dynamics typically drive higher participation through intensified party mobilization and voter outreach in battleground conditions. Historical midterm turnout patterns in the state, combined with factors like early voting access and potential election-day weather, keep multiple volume brackets near equal trader pricing. Late-cycle developments such as campaign spending surges, endorsements, or shifts in key demographics could widen separation among the brackets by altering expected participation rates.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Maine.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Maine, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$0
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 18, 2026, 10:14 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Maine. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Maine, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Maine. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Maine, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Maine's 2026 U.S. Senate race features a closely matched contest between incumbent Republican Susan Collins and Democratic nominee Troy Jackson, with recent polls showing Jackson ahead or tied within the margin of error. This balance sustains uncertainty over total ballots cast in the November 3 general election, as competitive dynamics typically drive higher participation through intensified party mobilization and voter outreach in battleground conditions. Historical midterm turnout patterns in the state, combined with factors like early voting access and potential election-day weather, keep multiple volume brackets near equal trader pricing. Late-cycle developments such as campaign spending surges, endorsements, or shifts in key demographics could widen separation among the brackets by altering expected participation rates.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Maine.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Maine, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$0
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 18, 2026, 10:14 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Maine. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Maine, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Выборы в Сенат штата Мэн: явка (первый тур)» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 8 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «<600 тыс.» с 45%, за ним следует «600К–650К» с 45%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 45¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 45%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Выборы в Сенат штата Мэн: явка (первый тур)» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Aug 18, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Выборы в Сенат штата Мэн: явка (первый тур)», просмотри 8 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Выборы в Сенат штата Мэн: явка (первый тур)» — «<600 тыс.» с 45%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 45%. Следующий ближайший исход — «600К–650К» с 45%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Выборы в Сенат штата Мэн: явка (первый тур)» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.