Incumbent Republican Kelly Ayotte holds a commanding position in the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus favoring her reelection. She benefits from strong fundraising—raising over $3.7 million compared to Democratic nominee Cinde Warmington’s $635,000—consistent polling leads averaging around 14 points, and high-profile endorsements including from multiple police unions. Ayotte secured her primary nomination decisively on September 8, while historical patterns show New Hampshire incumbents rarely lose second-term bids. Recent developments, such as the September resignation of Supreme Court Chief Justice Gordon MacDonald amid ethics issues, have prompted Warmington to criticize Ayotte’s court oversight, but these have not shifted the race fundamentals. Late developments like major scandals, turnout surprises, or national political shifts could still narrow the gap before November 3.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов губернатора Нью-Гэмпшира
Победитель выборов губернатора Нью-Гэмпшира
$19,907 Объем
$19,907 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Келли Айотт (Р)
91%
Синде Уормингтон (Д)
10%
$19,907 Объем
$19,907 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Келли Айотт (Р)
$7,996 Объем
91%
Синде Уормингтон (Д)
$11,912 Объем
10%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Kelly Ayotte holds a commanding position in the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus favoring her reelection. She benefits from strong fundraising—raising over $3.7 million compared to Democratic nominee Cinde Warmington’s $635,000—consistent polling leads averaging around 14 points, and high-profile endorsements including from multiple police unions. Ayotte secured her primary nomination decisively on September 8, while historical patterns show New Hampshire incumbents rarely lose second-term bids. Recent developments, such as the September resignation of Supreme Court Chief Justice Gordon MacDonald amid ethics issues, have prompted Warmington to criticize Ayotte’s court oversight, but these have not shifted the race fundamentals. Late developments like major scandals, turnout surprises, or national political shifts could still narrow the gap before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 6:07 PM ET
Объем
$19,907Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 6:07 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Kelly Ayotte holds a commanding position in the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus favoring her reelection. She benefits from strong fundraising—raising over $3.7 million compared to Democratic nominee Cinde Warmington’s $635,000—consistent polling leads averaging around 14 points, and high-profile endorsements including from multiple police unions. Ayotte secured her primary nomination decisively on September 8, while historical patterns show New Hampshire incumbents rarely lose second-term bids. Recent developments, such as the September resignation of Supreme Court Chief Justice Gordon MacDonald amid ethics issues, have prompted Warmington to criticize Ayotte’s court oversight, but these have not shifted the race fundamentals. Late developments like major scandals, turnout surprises, or national political shifts could still narrow the gap before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$19,907Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 6:07 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Kelly Ayotte holds a commanding position in the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus favoring her reelection. She benefits from strong fundraising—raising over $3.7 million compared to Democratic nominee Cinde Warmington’s $635,000—consistent polling leads averaging around 14 points, and high-profile endorsements including from multiple police unions. Ayotte secured her primary nomination decisively on September 8, while historical patterns show New Hampshire incumbents rarely lose second-term bids. Recent developments, such as the September resignation of Supreme Court Chief Justice Gordon MacDonald amid ethics issues, have prompted Warmington to criticize Ayotte’s court oversight, but these have not shifted the race fundamentals. Late developments like major scandals, turnout surprises, or national political shifts could still narrow the gap before November 3.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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