Alabama's entrenched Republican advantage in statewide contests underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee. With term-limited incumbent Kay Ivey ineligible, Senator Tommy Tuberville secured the Republican nomination decisively in the May 2026 primary, facing Democrat Doug Jones in a rematch of their 2020 Senate race. Recent polling averages show Tuberville ahead by roughly 10 points in a state where Donald Trump prevailed by over 30 points in 2024, reflecting durable partisan patterns and limited Democratic success since 1998. While residency litigation against Tuberville and shifts in Black voter turnout represent the clearest paths to narrowing the gap, current fundamentals and historical base rates continue to anchor expectations of a comfortable Republican hold.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов губернатора Алабамы
Победитель выборов губернатора Алабамы
$11,414 Объем
$11,414 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканец
96%
Демократ
4%
$11,414 Объем
$11,414 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканец
$6,310 Объем
96%
Демократ
$5,104 Объем
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Alabama's entrenched Republican advantage in statewide contests underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee. With term-limited incumbent Kay Ivey ineligible, Senator Tommy Tuberville secured the Republican nomination decisively in the May 2026 primary, facing Democrat Doug Jones in a rematch of their 2020 Senate race. Recent polling averages show Tuberville ahead by roughly 10 points in a state where Donald Trump prevailed by over 30 points in 2024, reflecting durable partisan patterns and limited Democratic success since 1998. While residency litigation against Tuberville and shifts in Black voter turnout represent the clearest paths to narrowing the gap, current fundamentals and historical base rates continue to anchor expectations of a comfortable Republican hold.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Объем
$11,414Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Alabama's entrenched Republican advantage in statewide contests underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee. With term-limited incumbent Kay Ivey ineligible, Senator Tommy Tuberville secured the Republican nomination decisively in the May 2026 primary, facing Democrat Doug Jones in a rematch of their 2020 Senate race. Recent polling averages show Tuberville ahead by roughly 10 points in a state where Donald Trump prevailed by over 30 points in 2024, reflecting durable partisan patterns and limited Democratic success since 1998. While residency litigation against Tuberville and shifts in Black voter turnout represent the clearest paths to narrowing the gap, current fundamentals and historical base rates continue to anchor expectations of a comfortable Republican hold.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$11,414Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Alabama's entrenched Republican advantage in statewide contests underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee. With term-limited incumbent Kay Ivey ineligible, Senator Tommy Tuberville secured the Republican nomination decisively in the May 2026 primary, facing Democrat Doug Jones in a rematch of their 2020 Senate race. Recent polling averages show Tuberville ahead by roughly 10 points in a state where Donald Trump prevailed by over 30 points in 2024, reflecting durable partisan patterns and limited Democratic success since 1998. While residency litigation against Tuberville and shifts in Black voter turnout represent the clearest paths to narrowing the gap, current fundamentals and historical base rates continue to anchor expectations of a comfortable Republican hold.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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