The tight contest between John Thune at 29% and Chuck Schumer at 29.5% reflects trader focus on which party secures Senate majority after the November 2026 elections. Republicans currently hold a 53-47 edge and Thune serves as majority leader, yet the map requires them to defend more seats amid typical midterm pressures on the president's party. Democrats need a net gain of four seats for control, with key races in North Carolina, Georgia, and other battlegrounds drawing attention for potential flips. Recent polling and prediction markets show only a modest Republican advantage, leaving room for shifts from candidate recruitment, turnout patterns, or national conditions to determine the caucus vote that selects the next leader.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДжон Тун 30%
Чак Шумер 30%
Брайан Шац 8%
Том Коттон 3.9%
$77,371 Объем
$77,371 Объем
3 янв. 2027 г.
Джон Тун
30%
Чак Шумер
30%
Брайан Шац
8%
Том Коттон
4%
Пэтти Мюррей
3%
Стив Дэйнс
3%
Кори Букер
2%
Линдси Грэм
2%
Марк Келли
2%
Эми Клобушар
2%
Джон Баррассо
2%
Джон Тун 30%
Чак Шумер 30%
Брайан Шац 8%
Том Коттон 3.9%
$77,371 Объем
$77,371 Объем
3 янв. 2027 г.
Джон Тун
$4,843 Объем
30%
Чак Шумер
$10,692 Объем
30%
Брайан Шац
$2,525 Объем
8%
Том Коттон
$5,796 Объем
4%
Пэтти Мюррей
$4,600 Объем
3%
Стив Дэйнс
$23,490 Объем
3%
Кори Букер
$2,083 Объем
2%
Линдси Грэм
$11,843 Объем
2%
Марк Келли
$4,594 Объем
2%
Эми Клобушар
$3,370 Объем
2%
Джон Баррассо
$3,533 Объем
2%
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.
This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.
If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.The tight contest between John Thune at 29% and Chuck Schumer at 29.5% reflects trader focus on which party secures Senate majority after the November 2026 elections. Republicans currently hold a 53-47 edge and Thune serves as majority leader, yet the map requires them to defend more seats amid typical midterm pressures on the president's party. Democrats need a net gain of four seats for control, with key races in North Carolina, Georgia, and other battlegrounds drawing attention for potential flips. Recent polling and prediction markets show only a modest Republican advantage, leaving room for shifts from candidate recruitment, turnout patterns, or national conditions to determine the caucus vote that selects the next leader.
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.
This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.
If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.
If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Открытие рынка: Mar 23, 2026, 7:08 PM ET
Объем
$77,371Дата окончания
3 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 23, 2026, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.
This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.
If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.The tight contest between John Thune at 29% and Chuck Schumer at 29.5% reflects trader focus on which party secures Senate majority after the November 2026 elections. Republicans currently hold a 53-47 edge and Thune serves as majority leader, yet the map requires them to defend more seats amid typical midterm pressures on the president's party. Democrats need a net gain of four seats for control, with key races in North Carolina, Georgia, and other battlegrounds drawing attention for potential flips. Recent polling and prediction markets show only a modest Republican advantage, leaving room for shifts from candidate recruitment, turnout patterns, or national conditions to determine the caucus vote that selects the next leader.
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.
This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.
If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.
If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Объем
$77,371Дата окончания
3 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 23, 2026, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The tight contest between John Thune at 29% and Chuck Schumer at 29.5% reflects trader focus on which party secures Senate majority after the November 2026 elections. Republicans currently hold a 53-47 edge and Thune serves as majority leader, yet the map requires them to defend more seats amid typical midterm pressures on the president's party. Democrats need a net gain of four seats for control, with key races in North Carolina, Georgia, and other battlegrounds drawing attention for potential flips. Recent polling and prediction markets show only a modest Republican advantage, leaving room for shifts from candidate recruitment, turnout patterns, or national conditions to determine the caucus vote that selects the next leader.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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