Republican control of the Senate, secured with 53 seats after the 2024 elections, drives trader consensus toward GOP contenders for next Majority Leader, as Mitch McConnell retires from leadership in January 2025. Steve Daines leads at 38% following President-elect Trump's recent endorsement, edging John Thune and John Barrasso, both around 26-31%, amid a fragmented Republican conference balancing establishment and Trump-aligned factions. Democrat Chuck Schumer's 31.5% share reflects residual hedging despite minority status. The race stays tight pending the GOP's lame-duck leadership vote, expected soon, with withdrawals, further Trump input, or whip elections potentially widening leads and shifting market probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоSteve Daines 42%
Chuck Schumer 29%
Lindsey Graham 27%
John Thune 26%
$26,198 Объем
$26,198 Объем

Steve Daines
42%

Chuck Schumer
29%

Lindsey Graham
27%

John Thune
26%

Mark Kelly
26%

Brian Schatz
24%

Amy Klobuchar
24%

Cory Booker
24%

John Barrasso
24%

Patty Murray
23%

Tom Cotton
20%
Steve Daines 42%
Chuck Schumer 29%
Lindsey Graham 27%
John Thune 26%
$26,198 Объем
$26,198 Объем

Steve Daines
42%

Chuck Schumer
29%

Lindsey Graham
27%

John Thune
26%

Mark Kelly
26%

Brian Schatz
24%

Amy Klobuchar
24%

Cory Booker
24%

John Barrasso
24%

Patty Murray
23%

Tom Cotton
20%
This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.
If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Открытие рынка: Mar 23, 2026, 7:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Republican control of the Senate, secured with 53 seats after the 2024 elections, drives trader consensus toward GOP contenders for next Majority Leader, as Mitch McConnell retires from leadership in January 2025. Steve Daines leads at 38% following President-elect Trump's recent endorsement, edging John Thune and John Barrasso, both around 26-31%, amid a fragmented Republican conference balancing establishment and Trump-aligned factions. Democrat Chuck Schumer's 31.5% share reflects residual hedging despite minority status. The race stays tight pending the GOP's lame-duck leadership vote, expected soon, with withdrawals, further Trump input, or whip elections potentially widening leads and shifting market probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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