Multiple toss-up Senate contests feature polling averages clustered within a few points, making Texas, Iowa, Alaska, Ohio (special), and Maine the leading contenders for the narrowest final margin. Open seats after retirements, vulnerable Republican incumbents facing strong Democratic recruits such as Sherrod Brown and Mary Peltola, and recent Cook and forecaster shifts to toss-up ratings in Iowa and Texas have concentrated trader attention on these races. Special elections in Ohio and Florida add procedural variables, while state fundamentals like turnout patterns and candidate fundraising differentiate the field. Late polling releases or campaign events could further consolidate support toward one outcome ahead of November 3.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоTexas 15%
Iowa 13.8%
Ohio (Special) 11.4%
Alaska 10%
$49,510 Объем
$49,510 Объем
31 окт. 2026 г.
Texas
15%
Iowa
14%
Ohio (Special)
11%
Alaska
10%
Maine
9%
Nebraska
8%
Michigan
5%
Florida (Special)
4%
New Hampshire
3%
Virginia
2%
Montana
2%
Georgia
2%
New Mexico
2%
North Carolina
1%
Minnesota
1%
Colorado
<1%
Texas 15%
Iowa 13.8%
Ohio (Special) 11.4%
Alaska 10%
$49,510 Объем
$49,510 Объем
31 окт. 2026 г.
Texas
$2,375 Объем
15%
Iowa
$3,434 Объем
14%
Ohio (Special)
$9,206 Объем
11%
Alaska
$8,468 Объем
10%
Maine
$2,149 Объем
9%
Nebraska
$3,609 Объем
8%
Michigan
$7,096 Объем
5%
Florida (Special)
$410 Объем
4%
New Hampshire
$806 Объем
3%
Virginia
$5,076 Объем
2%
Montana
$1,653 Объем
2%
Georgia
$824 Объем
2%
New Mexico
$160 Объем
2%
North Carolina
$1,557 Объем
1%
Minnesota
$1,569 Объем
1%
Colorado
$1,117 Объем
<1%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Multiple toss-up Senate contests feature polling averages clustered within a few points, making Texas, Iowa, Alaska, Ohio (special), and Maine the leading contenders for the narrowest final margin. Open seats after retirements, vulnerable Republican incumbents facing strong Democratic recruits such as Sherrod Brown and Mary Peltola, and recent Cook and forecaster shifts to toss-up ratings in Iowa and Texas have concentrated trader attention on these races. Special elections in Ohio and Florida add procedural variables, while state fundamentals like turnout patterns and candidate fundraising differentiate the field. Late polling releases or campaign events could further consolidate support toward one outcome ahead of November 3.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jun 26, 2026, 3:52 PM ET
Объем
$49,510Дата окончания
1 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 26, 2026, 3:52 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Multiple toss-up Senate contests feature polling averages clustered within a few points, making Texas, Iowa, Alaska, Ohio (special), and Maine the leading contenders for the narrowest final margin. Open seats after retirements, vulnerable Republican incumbents facing strong Democratic recruits such as Sherrod Brown and Mary Peltola, and recent Cook and forecaster shifts to toss-up ratings in Iowa and Texas have concentrated trader attention on these races. Special elections in Ohio and Florida add procedural variables, while state fundamentals like turnout patterns and candidate fundraising differentiate the field. Late polling releases or campaign events could further consolidate support toward one outcome ahead of November 3.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$49,510Дата окончания
1 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 26, 2026, 3:52 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Multiple toss-up Senate contests feature polling averages clustered within a few points, making Texas, Iowa, Alaska, Ohio (special), and Maine the leading contenders for the narrowest final margin. Open seats after retirements, vulnerable Republican incumbents facing strong Democratic recruits such as Sherrod Brown and Mary Peltola, and recent Cook and forecaster shifts to toss-up ratings in Iowa and Texas have concentrated trader attention on these races. Special elections in Ohio and Florida add procedural variables, while state fundamentals like turnout patterns and candidate fundraising differentiate the field. Late polling releases or campaign events could further consolidate support toward one outcome ahead of November 3.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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