Recent polls ahead of today's Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election show Die Linke narrowly ahead at 21-22%, followed closely by the CDU at 20% and AfD at 18%, with the Greens at 15-16%. This positioning, amid a CDU-SPD governing coalition facing voter dissatisfaction over housing costs and other local issues, underpins trader consensus favoring the CDU for second place. The AfD and Linke remain competitive contenders for that spot due to their gains since 2023 and the narrow spreads separating the top four parties. Late shifts in turnout or undecided voters, reported at notable levels in final surveys, could still alter the final order.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоХДС 45%
АдГ 27%
Левая 26%
Зелёные 2.4%
$54,853 Объем
$54,853 Объем

ХДС
45%

АдГ
27%

Левая
26%

Зелёные
2%

СДПГ
<1%

СвДП
<1%

FW
<1%

BSW
<1%
ХДС 45%
АдГ 27%
Левая 26%
Зелёные 2.4%
$54,853 Объем
$54,853 Объем

ХДС
45%

АдГ
27%

Левая
26%

Зелёные
2%

СДПГ
<1%

СвДП
<1%

FW
<1%

BSW
<1%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Открытие рынка: Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls ahead of today's Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election show Die Linke narrowly ahead at 21-22%, followed closely by the CDU at 20% and AfD at 18%, with the Greens at 15-16%. This positioning, amid a CDU-SPD governing coalition facing voter dissatisfaction over housing costs and other local issues, underpins trader consensus favoring the CDU for second place. The AfD and Linke remain competitive contenders for that spot due to their gains since 2023 and the narrow spreads separating the top four parties. Late shifts in turnout or undecided voters, reported at notable levels in final surveys, could still alter the final order.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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