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icon for Следующие выборы в Сенат Бразилии: большинство мест
Политика·Мировые выборы

Следующие выборы в Сенат Бразилии: большинство мест

icon for Следующие выборы в Сенат Бразилии: большинство мест
Политика·Мировые выборы

Следующие выборы в Сенат Бразилии: большинство мест

PL 90%

БДП (MDB) 2.5%

UNIÃO 2.1%

NOVO 2.1%

Polymarket

$52,957 Объем

PL 90%

БДП (MDB) 2.5%

UNIÃO 2.1%

NOVO 2.1%

Polymarket

$52,957 Объем

icon for PL

PL

$35,721 Объем

90%

icon for БДП (MDB)

БДП (MDB)

$1,353 Объем

2%

icon for UNIÃO

UNIÃO

$1,007 Объем

2%

icon for NOVO

NOVO

$1,118 Объем

2%

icon for ПП

ПП

$1,800 Объем

1%

icon for PSD

PSD

$1,272 Объем

1%

icon for PSDB

PSDB

$1,165 Объем

1%

icon for PDT

PDT

$4,775 Объем

1%

icon for PT

PT

$1,176 Объем

<1%

icon for PODEMOS

PODEMOS

$1,383 Объем

<1%

icon for РЕСПУБЛИКАНОС

РЕСПУБЛИКАНОС

$931 Объем

<1%

icon for PSB

PSB

$1,255 Объем

<1%

The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested. This market will resolve according to the political party that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election. All seats, not only the ones contested in the next Brazilian Senate election, will be considered. In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party in the Brazilian Senate as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election, not by any federation or coalition it may be a part of. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Senate (https://www25.senado.leg.br/web/senadores/em-exercicio/-/e/por-partido).PL's commanding position in state-level polling for the 54 Senate seats renewing in October 2026 underpins the market's strong consensus. Recent surveys across multiple states show Liberal Party candidates leading or competitive in key races, supported by broad conservative coalitions and organized campaigns in battleground units. This aligns with statistical projections estimating PL securing the largest bloc, well ahead of MDB and other parties with more localized strength. While outcomes remain subject to final candidate registrations, turnout patterns, and late shifts in voter preferences, the current polling trends and party infrastructure explain why traders assign overwhelming probability to PL holding the most seats.

The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested.

This market will resolve according to the political party that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election.

All seats, not only the ones contested in the next Brazilian Senate election, will be considered.

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party in the Brazilian Senate as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election, not by any federation or coalition it may be a part of.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Senate (https://www25.senado.leg.br/web/senadores/em-exercicio/-/e/por-partido).The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested. This market will resolve according to the political party that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election. All seats, not only the ones contested in the next Brazilian Senate election, will be considered. In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party in the Brazilian Senate as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election, not by any federation or coalition it may be a part of. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Senate (https://www25.senado.leg.br/web/senadores/em-exercicio/-/e/por-partido).
Объем
$52,957
Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Feb 11, 2026, 5:35 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x2F5e3684c...
The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested. This market will resolve according to the political party that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election. All seats, not only the ones contested in the next Brazilian Senate election, will be considered. In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party in the Brazilian Senate as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election, not by any federation or coalition it may be a part of. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Senate (https://www25.senado.leg.br/web/senadores/em-exercicio/-/e/por-partido).PL's commanding position in state-level polling for the 54 Senate seats renewing in October 2026 underpins the market's strong consensus. Recent surveys across multiple states show Liberal Party candidates leading or competitive in key races, supported by broad conservative coalitions and organized campaigns in battleground units. This aligns with statistical projections estimating PL securing the largest bloc, well ahead of MDB and other parties with more localized strength. While outcomes remain subject to final candidate registrations, turnout patterns, and late shifts in voter preferences, the current polling trends and party infrastructure explain why traders assign overwhelming probability to PL holding the most seats.

The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested.

This market will resolve according to the political party that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election.

All seats, not only the ones contested in the next Brazilian Senate election, will be considered.

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party in the Brazilian Senate as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election, not by any federation or coalition it may be a part of.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Senate (https://www25.senado.leg.br/web/senadores/em-exercicio/-/e/por-partido).The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested. This market will resolve according to the political party that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election. All seats, not only the ones contested in the next Brazilian Senate election, will be considered. In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party in the Brazilian Senate as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election, not by any federation or coalition it may be a part of. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Senate (https://www25.senado.leg.br/web/senadores/em-exercicio/-/e/por-partido).
Объем
$52,957
Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Feb 11, 2026, 5:35 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x2F5e3684c...

Связанные

icon for Выиграет ли Либеральная партия (PL) наибольшее количество мест на следующих выборах в бразильский Сенат?

Выиграет ли Либеральная партия (PL) наибольшее количество мест на следующих выборах в бразильский Сенат?

84%
Да
icon for Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?

Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?

56%
icon for Получит ли Мишель Болсонару больше всего голосов на выборах в Сенат Федерального округа в 2026 году?

Получит ли Мишель Болсонару больше всего голосов на выборах в Сенат Федерального округа в 2026 году?

86%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Следующие выборы в Сенат Бразилии: большинство мест» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 12 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «PL» с 90%, за ним следует «БДП (MDB)» с 2%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 90¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 90%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Следующие выборы в Сенат Бразилии: большинство мест» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $53K с момента запуска рынка Feb 11, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Следующие выборы в Сенат Бразилии: большинство мест», просмотри 12 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Следующие выборы в Сенат Бразилии: большинство мест» — «PL» с 90%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 90%. Следующий ближайший исход — «БДП (MDB)» с 2%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Следующие выборы в Сенат Бразилии: большинство мест» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.