Recent polling for Berlin’s September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election shows Linke, CDU, AfD, and Grüne clustered within a few points of one another between roughly 16–22 percent, leaving third place highly sensitive to small shifts. Linke’s rise under candidate Elif Eralp has tightened the upper order, while the CDU’s switch to Stefan Evers after Kai Wegner’s withdrawal and AfD gains under Kristin Brinker have kept the middle pack competitive. Grüne support remains steady but vulnerable to preference flows among left-leaning voters. Trader consensus reflected in the market prices captures this uncertainty, with minor changes in turnout or late campaign momentum among urban districts likely to reorder the final ranking before election day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоАдГ 39%
Зеленые 28%
ХДС 28%
Левая 11%
$24,912 Объем
$24,912 Объем
20 сент. 2026 г.
АдГ
39%
Зеленые
28%
ХДС
28%
Левая
11%
СДПГ
3%
СвДП
<1%
FW
<1%
BSW
<1%
АдГ 39%
Зеленые 28%
ХДС 28%
Левая 11%
$24,912 Объем
$24,912 Объем
20 сент. 2026 г.
АдГ
$6,086 Объем
39%
Зеленые
$3,894 Объем
28%
ХДС
$6,201 Объем
28%
Левая
$4,868 Объем
11%
СДПГ
$1,567 Объем
3%
СвДП
$888 Объем
<1%
FW
$620 Объем
<1%
BSW
$789 Объем
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Recent polling for Berlin’s September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election shows Linke, CDU, AfD, and Grüne clustered within a few points of one another between roughly 16–22 percent, leaving third place highly sensitive to small shifts. Linke’s rise under candidate Elif Eralp has tightened the upper order, while the CDU’s switch to Stefan Evers after Kai Wegner’s withdrawal and AfD gains under Kristin Brinker have kept the middle pack competitive. Grüne support remains steady but vulnerable to preference flows among left-leaning voters. Trader consensus reflected in the market prices captures this uncertainty, with minor changes in turnout or late campaign momentum among urban districts likely to reorder the final ranking before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Открытие рынка: Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ET
Объем
$24,912Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Recent polling for Berlin’s September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election shows Linke, CDU, AfD, and Grüne clustered within a few points of one another between roughly 16–22 percent, leaving third place highly sensitive to small shifts. Linke’s rise under candidate Elif Eralp has tightened the upper order, while the CDU’s switch to Stefan Evers after Kai Wegner’s withdrawal and AfD gains under Kristin Brinker have kept the middle pack competitive. Grüne support remains steady but vulnerable to preference flows among left-leaning voters. Trader consensus reflected in the market prices captures this uncertainty, with minor changes in turnout or late campaign momentum among urban districts likely to reorder the final ranking before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Объем
$24,912Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for Berlin’s September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election shows Linke, CDU, AfD, and Grüne clustered within a few points of one another between roughly 16–22 percent, leaving third place highly sensitive to small shifts. Linke’s rise under candidate Elif Eralp has tightened the upper order, while the CDU’s switch to Stefan Evers after Kai Wegner’s withdrawal and AfD gains under Kristin Brinker have kept the middle pack competitive. Grüne support remains steady but vulnerable to preference flows among left-leaning voters. Trader consensus reflected in the market prices captures this uncertainty, with minor changes in turnout or late campaign momentum among urban districts likely to reorder the final ranking before election day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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