Recent polling averages for New Zealand's November 7, 2026, general election under the MMP system show both major parties below 30-35% support, with Labour and National each projected around 36-39 seats in tight contests. The Labour-led left bloc (including Greens and Te Pāti Māori) edges ahead in several surveys due to gains by minor parties like The Opportunities Party, which National has ruled out partnering with, while the incumbent National-ACT-NZ First coalition holds advantages in others amid debates over immigration reforms and economic policy. Trader consensus reflects this near-even split and Labour's recent polling resilience, though outcomes hinge on final voter turnout, coalition negotiations, and late shifts among smaller parties.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоNew Zealand legislative election winner?
New Zealand legislative election winner?
Labour Party 56%
National Party 45%
Green Party <1%
ACT New Zealand <1%
$59,674 Объем
$59,674 Объем
6 нояб. 2026 г.
National Party
45%
Labour Party
56%
Green Party
<1%
ACT New Zealand
<1%
New Zealand First Party
<1%
Te Pāti Māori
<1%
Labour Party 56%
National Party 45%
Green Party <1%
ACT New Zealand <1%
$59,674 Объем
$59,674 Объем
6 нояб. 2026 г.
National Party
$24,334 Объем
45%
Labour Party
$19,148 Объем
56%
Green Party
$4,208 Объем
<1%
ACT New Zealand
$4,166 Объем
<1%
New Zealand First Party
$3,571 Объем
<1%
Te Pāti Māori
$4,245 Объем
<1%
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling averages for New Zealand's November 7, 2026, general election under the MMP system show both major parties below 30-35% support, with Labour and National each projected around 36-39 seats in tight contests. The Labour-led left bloc (including Greens and Te Pāti Māori) edges ahead in several surveys due to gains by minor parties like The Opportunities Party, which National has ruled out partnering with, while the incumbent National-ACT-NZ First coalition holds advantages in others amid debates over immigration reforms and economic policy. Trader consensus reflects this near-even split and Labour's recent polling resilience, though outcomes hinge on final voter turnout, coalition negotiations, and late shifts among smaller parties.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Открытие рынка: Apr 29, 2026, 7:35 PM ET
Объем
$59,674Дата окончания
7 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 29, 2026, 7:35 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling averages for New Zealand's November 7, 2026, general election under the MMP system show both major parties below 30-35% support, with Labour and National each projected around 36-39 seats in tight contests. The Labour-led left bloc (including Greens and Te Pāti Māori) edges ahead in several surveys due to gains by minor parties like The Opportunities Party, which National has ruled out partnering with, while the incumbent National-ACT-NZ First coalition holds advantages in others amid debates over immigration reforms and economic policy. Trader consensus reflects this near-even split and Labour's recent polling resilience, though outcomes hinge on final voter turnout, coalition negotiations, and late shifts among smaller parties.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Объем
$59,674Дата окончания
7 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 29, 2026, 7:35 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages for New Zealand's November 7, 2026, general election under the MMP system show both major parties below 30-35% support, with Labour and National each projected around 36-39 seats in tight contests. The Labour-led left bloc (including Greens and Te Pāti Māori) edges ahead in several surveys due to gains by minor parties like The Opportunities Party, which National has ruled out partnering with, while the incumbent National-ACT-NZ First coalition holds advantages in others amid debates over immigration reforms and economic policy. Trader consensus reflects this near-even split and Labour's recent polling resilience, though outcomes hinge on final voter turnout, coalition negotiations, and late shifts among smaller parties.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Will the National Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
35%
Will New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
56%
Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
55%
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