Ten states—Alabama, California, Florida, Louisiana, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Texas, and Utah—have enacted new congressional maps for the 2026 midterms through mid-decade redistricting. This process, driven by state legislative majorities via special sessions and ballot measures plus court rulings under the Voting Rights Act or state constitutions, represents an unusually active cycle outside the post-census timeline. Key catalysts include Texas’s 2025 map changes prompting responses elsewhere, such as California’s November 2025 voter-approved measure, alongside litigation resolutions in Alabama, Louisiana, and Utah. Remaining legal challenges, candidate filing deadlines, and any final court actions before November could still alter maps in additional states, though most changes have already taken effect. Trader consensus reflects these confirmed enactments and the narrow window for further shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоWhich states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
$380,586 Объем
California
96%
Texas
99%
North Carolina
96%
Ohio
97%
Utah
91%
Florida
98%
Louisiana
93%
Missouri
91%
Virginia
3%
Alabama
91%
South Carolina
2%
Georgia
6%
Kansas
3%
New Jersey
4%
Indiana
6%
Washington
5%
Nebraska
3%
Illinois
3%
Minnesota
3%
New York
8%
Maryland
4%
Wisconsin
3%
$380,586 Объем
California
96%
Texas
99%
North Carolina
96%
Ohio
97%
Utah
91%
Florida
98%
Louisiana
93%
Missouri
91%
Virginia
3%
Alabama
91%
South Carolina
2%
Georgia
6%
Kansas
3%
New Jersey
4%
Indiana
6%
Washington
5%
Nebraska
3%
Illinois
3%
Minnesota
3%
New York
8%
Maryland
4%
Wisconsin
3%
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ten states—Alabama, California, Florida, Louisiana, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Texas, and Utah—have enacted new congressional maps for the 2026 midterms through mid-decade redistricting. This process, driven by state legislative majorities via special sessions and ballot measures plus court rulings under the Voting Rights Act or state constitutions, represents an unusually active cycle outside the post-census timeline. Key catalysts include Texas’s 2025 map changes prompting responses elsewhere, such as California’s November 2025 voter-approved measure, alongside litigation resolutions in Alabama, Louisiana, and Utah. Remaining legal challenges, candidate filing deadlines, and any final court actions before November could still alter maps in additional states, though most changes have already taken effect. Trader consensus reflects these confirmed enactments and the narrow window for further shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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