Virginia’s Democratic-led legislature advanced a constitutional amendment and accompanying map in early 2026 that would have enabled mid-decade redistricting and shifted the state’s 11 congressional districts to favor Democrats in roughly 10 seats for the November midterms. Voters narrowly approved the measure in an April referendum, yet the Virginia Supreme Court invalidated it on May 8, citing violations of the state constitution’s intervening-election requirement for amendments. The U.S. Supreme Court later denied emergency review, leaving the 2021 court-drawn map in place. With candidate filing deadlines passed and primaries held August 4 under the existing lines, traders assign only a 3.8 percent chance that any new congressional map reaches the midterms. Late-stage litigation or legislative maneuvers remain theoretically possible but face steep procedural and timing barriers.