Incumbent Democratic Governor Tina Kotek holds a commanding position in Oregon's 2026 gubernatorial contest, backed by strong primary performance, incumbency advantages, and the state's consistent Democratic lean in statewide elections. Her Republican challenger, Christine Drazan, secured her party's nomination in the May primaries but trails in most available surveys following their 2022 rematch. A late June internal poll showing a narrow Republican lead prompted some forecasters, including the Cook Political Report, to adjust ratings from Solid Democratic toward Likely or Lean Democratic, highlighting modest competitiveness. Traders' heavy weighting toward the Democratic outcome reflects these structural factors and historical voting patterns, even as the November general election approaches.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов губернатора Орегона
Победитель выборов губернатора Орегона
$35,885 Объем
$35,885 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократ
86%
Республиканец
15%
$35,885 Объем
$35,885 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократ
$21,032 Объем
86%
Республиканец
$14,853 Объем
15%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Tina Kotek holds a commanding position in Oregon's 2026 gubernatorial contest, backed by strong primary performance, incumbency advantages, and the state's consistent Democratic lean in statewide elections. Her Republican challenger, Christine Drazan, secured her party's nomination in the May primaries but trails in most available surveys following their 2022 rematch. A late June internal poll showing a narrow Republican lead prompted some forecasters, including the Cook Political Report, to adjust ratings from Solid Democratic toward Likely or Lean Democratic, highlighting modest competitiveness. Traders' heavy weighting toward the Democratic outcome reflects these structural factors and historical voting patterns, even as the November general election approaches.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Объем
$35,885Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Tina Kotek holds a commanding position in Oregon's 2026 gubernatorial contest, backed by strong primary performance, incumbency advantages, and the state's consistent Democratic lean in statewide elections. Her Republican challenger, Christine Drazan, secured her party's nomination in the May primaries but trails in most available surveys following their 2022 rematch. A late June internal poll showing a narrow Republican lead prompted some forecasters, including the Cook Political Report, to adjust ratings from Solid Democratic toward Likely or Lean Democratic, highlighting modest competitiveness. Traders' heavy weighting toward the Democratic outcome reflects these structural factors and historical voting patterns, even as the November general election approaches.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$35,885Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Governor Tina Kotek holds a commanding position in Oregon's 2026 gubernatorial contest, backed by strong primary performance, incumbency advantages, and the state's consistent Democratic lean in statewide elections. Her Republican challenger, Christine Drazan, secured her party's nomination in the May primaries but trails in most available surveys following their 2022 rematch. A late June internal poll showing a narrow Republican lead prompted some forecasters, including the Cook Political Report, to adjust ratings from Solid Democratic toward Likely or Lean Democratic, highlighting modest competitiveness. Traders' heavy weighting toward the Democratic outcome reflects these structural factors and historical voting patterns, even as the November general election approaches.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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