Massachusetts voters have elected only two Republican senators since 1961, reflecting the state's strong Democratic lean and consistent preference for the party's candidates in federal races. Incumbent Senator Ed Markey seeks a third term in the November 2026 general election, backed by endorsements from prominent progressives and aligned groups, while facing a Democratic primary challenge from Representative Seth Moulton. No Republican candidate has emerged with meaningful statewide strength or fundraising, leaving the general-election contest noncompetitive by historical standards. Trader consensus at 96 percent for a Democratic winner reflects these structural advantages and base-rate outcomes in similar states. A realistic shift would require an unexpected primary upset producing a damaged nominee, a major scandal involving the Democratic front-runner, or an unusually strong Republican performance tied to national conditions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Сенат штата Массачусетс
Победитель выборов в Сенат штата Массачусетс
$24,223 Объем
$24,223 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократ
96%
Республиканец
3%
$24,223 Объем
$24,223 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократ
$18,797 Объем
96%
Республиканец
$5,426 Объем
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Massachusetts voters have elected only two Republican senators since 1961, reflecting the state's strong Democratic lean and consistent preference for the party's candidates in federal races. Incumbent Senator Ed Markey seeks a third term in the November 2026 general election, backed by endorsements from prominent progressives and aligned groups, while facing a Democratic primary challenge from Representative Seth Moulton. No Republican candidate has emerged with meaningful statewide strength or fundraising, leaving the general-election contest noncompetitive by historical standards. Trader consensus at 96 percent for a Democratic winner reflects these structural advantages and base-rate outcomes in similar states. A realistic shift would require an unexpected primary upset producing a damaged nominee, a major scandal involving the Democratic front-runner, or an unusually strong Republican performance tied to national conditions.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Объем
$24,223Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Massachusetts voters have elected only two Republican senators since 1961, reflecting the state's strong Democratic lean and consistent preference for the party's candidates in federal races. Incumbent Senator Ed Markey seeks a third term in the November 2026 general election, backed by endorsements from prominent progressives and aligned groups, while facing a Democratic primary challenge from Representative Seth Moulton. No Republican candidate has emerged with meaningful statewide strength or fundraising, leaving the general-election contest noncompetitive by historical standards. Trader consensus at 96 percent for a Democratic winner reflects these structural advantages and base-rate outcomes in similar states. A realistic shift would require an unexpected primary upset producing a damaged nominee, a major scandal involving the Democratic front-runner, or an unusually strong Republican performance tied to national conditions.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$24,223Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Massachusetts voters have elected only two Republican senators since 1961, reflecting the state's strong Democratic lean and consistent preference for the party's candidates in federal races. Incumbent Senator Ed Markey seeks a third term in the November 2026 general election, backed by endorsements from prominent progressives and aligned groups, while facing a Democratic primary challenge from Representative Seth Moulton. No Republican candidate has emerged with meaningful statewide strength or fundraising, leaving the general-election contest noncompetitive by historical standards. Trader consensus at 96 percent for a Democratic winner reflects these structural advantages and base-rate outcomes in similar states. A realistic shift would require an unexpected primary upset producing a damaged nominee, a major scandal involving the Democratic front-runner, or an unusually strong Republican performance tied to national conditions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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