Massachusetts's deep Democratic lean and Ed Markey's status as a three-term incumbent have anchored trader consensus around his reelection prospects. Recent polling averages show him ahead by roughly 20 points, consistent with the state's voting patterns and his primary victory over Seth Moulton on September 1. John Deaton, the Republican nominee running unopposed in his primary, faces structural barriers in a state where Democratic presidential candidates have routinely posted large margins. All major forecasters rate the contest as safe or solid Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event involving the 80-year-old senator, or sharp national political shift could still alter the trajectory, though current evidence points to limited volatility.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Сенат штата Массачусетс
Победитель выборов в Сенат штата Массачусетс
$48,356 Объем
$48,356 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Эд Марки (Д)
98%
Джон Дитон (Р)
2%
$48,356 Объем
$48,356 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Эд Марки (Д)
$35,260 Объем
98%
Джон Дитон (Р)
$13,095 Объем
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Massachusetts's deep Democratic lean and Ed Markey's status as a three-term incumbent have anchored trader consensus around his reelection prospects. Recent polling averages show him ahead by roughly 20 points, consistent with the state's voting patterns and his primary victory over Seth Moulton on September 1. John Deaton, the Republican nominee running unopposed in his primary, faces structural barriers in a state where Democratic presidential candidates have routinely posted large margins. All major forecasters rate the contest as safe or solid Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event involving the 80-year-old senator, or sharp national political shift could still alter the trajectory, though current evidence points to limited volatility.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Объем
$48,356Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Massachusetts's deep Democratic lean and Ed Markey's status as a three-term incumbent have anchored trader consensus around his reelection prospects. Recent polling averages show him ahead by roughly 20 points, consistent with the state's voting patterns and his primary victory over Seth Moulton on September 1. John Deaton, the Republican nominee running unopposed in his primary, faces structural barriers in a state where Democratic presidential candidates have routinely posted large margins. All major forecasters rate the contest as safe or solid Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event involving the 80-year-old senator, or sharp national political shift could still alter the trajectory, though current evidence points to limited volatility.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$48,356Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Massachusetts's deep Democratic lean and Ed Markey's status as a three-term incumbent have anchored trader consensus around his reelection prospects. Recent polling averages show him ahead by roughly 20 points, consistent with the state's voting patterns and his primary victory over Seth Moulton on September 1. John Deaton, the Republican nominee running unopposed in his primary, faces structural barriers in a state where Democratic presidential candidates have routinely posted large margins. All major forecasters rate the contest as safe or solid Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event involving the 80-year-old senator, or sharp national political shift could still alter the trajectory, though current evidence points to limited volatility.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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