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Политика·Бразилия

Выборы в Сенат Риу-Гранди-ду-Сул: 2-е место

icon for Выборы в Сенат Риу-Гранди-ду-Сул: 2-е место
Политика·Бразилия

Выборы в Сенат Риу-Гранди-ду-Сул: 2-е место

Ренато Ягуарао 25%

Пименту 22%

Марсель Ван Хаттем 22%

Милтон Кардозу 21%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Ренато Ягуарао 25%

Пименту 22%

Марсель Ван Хаттем 22%

Милтон Кардозу 21%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ
icon for Ренато Ягуарао

Ренато Ягуарао

$20 Объем

25%

icon for Пименту

Пименту

$20 Объем

22%

icon for Марсель Ван Хаттем

Марсель Ван Хаттем

$20 Объем

22%

icon for Милтон Кардозу

Милтон Кардозу

$20 Объем

21%

icon for Мануэла Д'Авила

Мануэла Д'Авила

$20 Объем

19%

icon for Фредерико Антунес

Фредерико Антунес

$20 Объем

18%

icon for Риготто

Риготто

$20 Объем

18%

icon for Сандерсон

Сандерсон

$20 Объем

17%

icon for Лусьяно ду МЛБ

Лусьяно ду МЛБ

$101 Объем

8%

icon for Рик Джонс

Рик Джонс

$59 Объем

8%

icon for Даниэла Mulheres Socialistas

Даниэла Mulheres Socialistas

$71 Объем

8%

icon for Регис Этур

Регис Этур

$87 Объем

7%

icon for Таня Перес

Таня Перес

$280 Объем

5%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls in Rio Grande do Sul show a fragmented field for the state's two Senate seats, with Manuela D'Ávila (PSOL), Germano Rigotto (MDB), Paulo Pimenta (PT), Marcel Van Hattem (Novo), and Ubiratan Sanderson (PL) in a technical tie near the top and large numbers of undecided voters. The open race without an incumbent, combined with distinct party coalitions and regional voter bases, sustains tight competition for second place. Trader consensus reflects this balance, as no single contender has established a durable edge in early surveys. Key upcoming factors include formal campaign launches later this month, coalition negotiations, and additional state-level polling that could shift positioning ahead of the October 4 first round.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$757
Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls in Rio Grande do Sul show a fragmented field for the state's two Senate seats, with Manuela D'Ávila (PSOL), Germano Rigotto (MDB), Paulo Pimenta (PT), Marcel Van Hattem (Novo), and Ubiratan Sanderson (PL) in a technical tie near the top and large numbers of undecided voters. The open race without an incumbent, combined with distinct party coalitions and regional voter bases, sustains tight competition for second place. Trader consensus reflects this balance, as no single contender has established a durable edge in early surveys. Key upcoming factors include formal campaign launches later this month, coalition negotiations, and additional state-level polling that could shift positioning ahead of the October 4 first round.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$757
Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Связанные

icon for Will Marcel Van Hattem win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?

Will Marcel Van Hattem win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?

25%
icon for Получит ли Кловис Коста из Coletivo Nós второе по количеству голосов место на выборах в Сенат Риу-Гранди-ду-Норти в 2026 году?

Получит ли Кловис Коста из Coletivo Nós второе по количеству голосов место на выборах в Сенат Риу-Гранди-ду-Норти в 2026 году?

23%
Да
icon for Получит ли Андре Монтейру второй по количеству голосов результат на выборах в Сенат Рио-де-Жанейро в 2026 году?

Получит ли Андре Монтейру второй по количеству голосов результат на выборах в Сенат Рио-де-Жанейро в 2026 году?

26%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Выборы в Сенат Риу-Гранди-ду-Сул: 2-е место» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 13 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Ренато Ягуарао» с 25%, за ним следует «Пименту» с 22%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 25¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 25%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Выборы в Сенат Риу-Гранди-ду-Сул: 2-е место» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Aug 17, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Выборы в Сенат Риу-Гранди-ду-Сул: 2-е место», просмотри 13 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Выборы в Сенат Риу-Гранди-ду-Сул: 2-е место» — «Ренато Ягуарао» с 25%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 25%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Пименту» с 22%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Выборы в Сенат Риу-Гранди-ду-Сул: 2-е место» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.