Pernambuco's 2026 Senate contest features a crowded field for the two seats, with first-place probabilities clustered tightly among leading contenders. Recent polling from April through June shows Marília Arraes (PDT) holding a narrow edge in vote intention, followed closely by Humberto Costa (PT), Mendonça Filho (PL), and Túlio Gadêlha (PSD). The fragmented candidate list, including several federal deputies and former officeholders, has kept the race competitive without a dominant frontrunner. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over late-campaign shifts, potential party alliances, and turnout patterns among key regional blocs ahead of the October 4 election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоPaulo Rubem Santiago 44%
Samuel Timoteo 44%
Túlio Gadêlha 44%
Marília Arraes 43%

Paulo Rubem Santiago
44%

Samuel Timoteo
44%

Túlio Gadêlha
44%

Marília Arraes
43%

Pastor Gilvan Costa
43%

Mailson da Silva Neto
41%

Mariano Macedo
41%

Gorett Bitu
41%

Mendonça Filho
41%

Carlos Sant'Anna
41%

Humberto Costa
41%

Eduardo da Fonte
40%
Paulo Rubem Santiago 44%
Samuel Timoteo 44%
Túlio Gadêlha 44%
Marília Arraes 43%

Paulo Rubem Santiago
44%

Samuel Timoteo
44%

Túlio Gadêlha
44%

Marília Arraes
43%

Pastor Gilvan Costa
43%

Mailson da Silva Neto
41%

Mariano Macedo
41%

Gorett Bitu
41%

Mendonça Filho
41%

Carlos Sant'Anna
41%

Humberto Costa
41%

Eduardo da Fonte
40%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Открытие рынка: Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Pernambuco's 2026 Senate contest features a crowded field for the two seats, with first-place probabilities clustered tightly among leading contenders. Recent polling from April through June shows Marília Arraes (PDT) holding a narrow edge in vote intention, followed closely by Humberto Costa (PT), Mendonça Filho (PL), and Túlio Gadêlha (PSD). The fragmented candidate list, including several federal deputies and former officeholders, has kept the race competitive without a dominant frontrunner. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over late-campaign shifts, potential party alliances, and turnout patterns among key regional blocs ahead of the October 4 election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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