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Политика·Бразилия

Выборы в Сенат Риу-Гранди-ду-Норти: 2-е место

icon for Выборы в Сенат Риу-Гранди-ду-Норти: 2-е место
Политика·Бразилия

Выборы в Сенат Риу-Гранди-ду-Норти: 2-е место

Гари Венделл Батиста 33%

Саманда де Лула 27%

Росалия Фернандес 23%

Тércio Tinôco 23%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Гари Венделл Батиста 33%

Саманда де Лула 27%

Росалия Фернандес 23%

Тércio Tinôco 23%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ
icon for Гари Венделл Батиста

Гари Венделл Батиста

$46 Объем

33%

icon for Саманда де Лула

Саманда де Лула

$46 Объем

27%

icon for Росалия Фернандес

Росалия Фернандес

$46 Объем

23%

icon for Тércio Tinôco

Тércio Tinôco

$46 Объем

23%

icon for Зенайд Майя

Зенайд Майя

$46 Объем

20%

icon for Кловис Коста из Coletivo Nós

Кловис Коста из Coletivo Nós

$46 Объем

19%

icon for Профессор Гильерме

Профессор Гильерме

$46 Объем

19%

icon for Рафаэль Мотта

Рафаэль Мотта

$46 Объем

18%

icon for Лусиана Манду

Лусиана Манду

$46 Объем

18%

icon for Соня Годейро

Соня Годейро

$46 Объем

18%

icon for Стивенсон Валентим

Стивенсон Валентим

$55 Объем

12%

icon for Полковник Элиу

Полковник Элиу

$46 Объем

11%

icon for Линарес Жибоя

Линарес Жибоя

$66 Объем

10%

icon for Сандро Пиментел

Сандро Пиментел

$46 Объем

9%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from July 2026 shows a technical tie among leading contenders for the two Rio Grande do Norte Senate seats, with incumbent Styvenson Valentim (PODE) at 21.4%, Samanda Alves (PT) at 18.2%, Coronel Hélio (PL) at 15.3%, and Rafael Motta (PDT) at 14.4%. This fragmentation, combined with 14 registered candidates and incumbents Zenaide Maia (PSD) and Valentim seeking reelection, keeps second-place probabilities tightly bunched in trader assessments. The March 2026 decision by the governor to forgo a Senate bid further shaped alliances without resolving the competitive balance. Scheduled voting on October 4 leaves room for late shifts in turnout or coalition momentum to reorder the field.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$672
Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from July 2026 shows a technical tie among leading contenders for the two Rio Grande do Norte Senate seats, with incumbent Styvenson Valentim (PODE) at 21.4%, Samanda Alves (PT) at 18.2%, Coronel Hélio (PL) at 15.3%, and Rafael Motta (PDT) at 14.4%. This fragmentation, combined with 14 registered candidates and incumbents Zenaide Maia (PSD) and Valentim seeking reelection, keeps second-place probabilities tightly bunched in trader assessments. The March 2026 decision by the governor to forgo a Senate bid further shaped alliances without resolving the competitive balance. Scheduled voting on October 4 leaves room for late shifts in turnout or coalition momentum to reorder the field.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$672
Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Связанные

icon for Will Styvenson Valentim win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?

Will Styvenson Valentim win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?

67%
icon for Получит ли Регис Этур второе по количеству голосов место на выборах в Сенат Риу-Гранди-ду-Сул 2026 года?

Получит ли Регис Этур второе по количеству голосов место на выборах в Сенат Риу-Гранди-ду-Сул 2026 года?

30%
Да
icon for Will Daniela Mulheres Socialistas win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?

Will Daniela Mulheres Socialistas win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?

28%

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Выборы в Сенат Риу-Гранди-ду-Норти: 2-е место» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 14 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Гари Венделл Батиста» с 33%, за ним следует «Саманда де Лула» с 27%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 33¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 33%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Выборы в Сенат Риу-Гранди-ду-Норти: 2-е место» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Aug 17, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Выборы в Сенат Риу-Гранди-ду-Норти: 2-е место», просмотри 14 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Выборы в Сенат Риу-Гранди-ду-Норти: 2-е место» — «Гари Венделл Батиста» с 33%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 33%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Саманда де Лула» с 27%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Выборы в Сенат Риу-Гранди-ду-Норти: 2-е место» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.